Jelle Sels vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Maia Challenger Men Jelle Sels - Daniel Merida Aguilar
Result
0:2
25/11/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
72%71%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (30/50)72% (28/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
26% (5/19)50% (8/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
28% (11/39)40% (20/50)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (8/16)74% (14/19)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
51% (35/69)65% (36/55)
Return Points Won
35% (19/55)49% (34/69)
Total Points Won
44% (54/124)56% (70/124)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Jelle Sels
44.2%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jelle Sels - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.66)

    1.68
    (2.08)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jelle Sels - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sels is ranked ATP: 292. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 314.
    • Sels is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jelle Sels
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Marti Pujolras A. (Q)Araujo P. (WC)0 : 2
    2Martin A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    3Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Gakhov I. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Matusevich A. (LL)Rocha H. (8)1 : 2
    5Passaro F. (4)Janvier M.2 : 0
    6Gaubas V. (LL)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    7Sels J. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Martin Tiffon P.Moller E. (6)2 : 1
    9Ramos A. (5)Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Rincon D.Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    11Nijboer R. (Q)Ovcharenko O. (Q)0 : 2
    12Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Dzumhur D. (3)1 : 2
    13Moro Canas A. (7)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    14Coppejans K. (PR)Vincent Ruggeri S.2 : 0
    15Andreev A.Debru G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Blancaneaux G. (RET.)Coria F. (2)0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Araujo P.Martin A.1 : 2
    2Alvarez Varona N.Rocha H. (8)0 : 2
    3Passaro F. (4)Gaubas V.2 : 1
    4Merida Aguilar D.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    5Ramos A. (5)Rincon D.2 : 1
    6Ovcharenko O.Dzumhur D. (3)0 : 2
    7Moro Canas A. (7)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    8Andreev A.Coria F. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Martin A.Rocha H. (8)2 : 0
    2Passaro F. (4)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    3Ramos A. (5)Dzumhur D. (3)0 : 2
    4Coppejans K.Coria F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Martin A.Passaro F. (4)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D. (3)Coria F. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Passaro F. (4)Dzumhur D. (3)0 : 2