Jelle Sels vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/11/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
56%68%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)82% (42/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)58% (14/24)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
18% (9/51)36% (16/44)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (10/24)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
59% (46/78)75% (56/75)
Return Points Won
25% (19/75)41% (32/78)
Total Points Won
42% (65/153)58% (88/153)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Jelle Sels
52.7%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.85)

    1.96
    (1.85)
    7.7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sels is ranked ATP: 292. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 387.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Jelle Sels
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cilic M. (1)Hassan B.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S. (PR)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    3Ruusuvuori E. (WC)Neumayer L.2 : 0
    4Onclin G.Virtanen O. (6)0 : 2
    5Lajovic D. (4)Dodig M. (Q)0 : 2
    6Gueymard Wayenburg S. (Q)Gojo B.2 : 1
    7Rodesch C.Engel J.2 : 1
    8Paldanius O. (WC)Zeppieri G. (7)0 : 2
    9Kypson P. (5)Blancaneaux G. (Q)2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Hemery C.0 : 2
    11Giustino L. (SE)Droguet T. (SE)2 : 0
    12Coppejans K.Holt B. (3)2 : 1
    13Mikrut L. (8)Vasa E. (WC)0 : 2
    14Travaglia S.Parker S. (Q)2 : 0
    15Durasovic V. (Q)Cina F.2 : 0
    16Butvilas E. (Q)Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cilic M. (1)Napolitano S.2 : 1
    2Ruusuvuori E.Virtanen O. (6)0 : 2
    3Dodig M.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    4Rodesch C.Zeppieri G. (7)1 : 2
    5Kypson P. (5)Hemery C.2 : 1
    6Giustino L.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    7Vasa E.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    8Durasovic V.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cilic M. (1)Virtanen O. (6)0 : 2
    2Gueymard Wayenburg S.Zeppieri G. (7)2 : 0
    3Kypson P. (5)Giustino L.2 : 0
    4Travaglia S.Nardi L. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Virtanen O. (6)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    2Kypson P. (5)Travaglia S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Virtanen O. (6)Kypson P. (5)1 : 2