Jenny Duerst vs Gaia Squarcialupi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W15 Alaminos 3 Women Jenny Duerst - Gaia Squarcialupi
Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Alaminos 3, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
73

Chances of winning


Jenny Duerst
80.1%
Gaia Squarcialupi
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jenny Duerst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jenny Duerst's performance.
  • Gaia Squarcialupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gaia Squarcialupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jenny Duerst that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaia Squarcialupi than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaia Squarcialupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jenny Duerst - Gaia Squarcialupi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.34)

    4.66
    (3.23)
    7.7%
    (5.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Duerst is ranked WTA: 366. Squarcialupi is ranked WTA: 701.
    • Duerst is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Squarcialupi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Duerst could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Duerst is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jenny Duerst
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Duerst J. (1)Gram O.2 : 0
    2Ekshibarova V.Sagmar I. (Q)0 : 2
    3Andronicou N. (WC)Bakhmutkina P. (Q)1 : 2
    4Veleva V. (Q)Simion O. (5)0 : 2
    5Nagy A. (4)Gandolfi F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Firman A.Camerano E. A.2 : 0
    7Hertel A.Brune A.0 : 2
    8Parentini G. (Q)Squarcialupi G. (8)0 : 2
    9Adascalitei A. C. (LL)Breen S. (Q)0 : 2
    10Avataneo S.Zimmer A.2 : 1
    11Mozgaleva A.Aristegui M.0 : 2
    12Sevcikova L.Kuhl C. (3)0 : 2
    13Fetecau I. (6)Pochtovyk K.2 : 0
    14Vasilyeva A.Puiac A. L. (Q)2 : 1
    15Danilova O. (WC)Oliver Sanchez M.1 : 2
    16Kuznetsova E. (Q)Ricci B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duerst J. (1)Sagmar I.2 : 1
    2Bakhmutkina P.Simion O. (5)0 : 2
    3Nagy A. (4)Firman A.2 : 0
    4Brune A.Squarcialupi G. (8)0 : 2
    5Breen S.Avataneo S.2 : 1
    6Aristegui M.Kuhl C. (3)2 : 0
    7Fetecau I. (6)Vasilyeva A.2 : 0
    8Oliver Sanchez M.Ricci B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duerst J. (1)Simion O. (5)2 : 1
    2Nagy A. (4)Squarcialupi G. (8)0 : 2
    3Breen S.Aristegui M.2 : 0
    4Fetecau I. (6)Ricci B. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Duerst J. (1)Squarcialupi G. (8)2 : 0
    2Breen S. (RET.)Fetecau I. (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Duerst J. (1)Fetecau I. (6)1 : 1