União Carmolandense vs Jequié – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D União Carmolandense - Jequié
Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Corner Kicks
47
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
47
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 0, Gomes Ananias P. H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


União Carmolandense
30.2%
Draw
28.7%
Jequié
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 28.1% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27.2% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Carmolandense's form might have worsened.
  • Jequié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jequié's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Carmolandense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jequié, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • União Carmolandense - Jequié Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.4)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    2.21
    (2.6)
    10.2%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Carmolandense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União Carmolandense - Jequié were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Jequié - União Carmolandense 1:0
    Latest results of Jequié
    05.07.2025 Juazeirense - Jequié 2:1
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    08.06.2025 Jequié - Penedense 0:0
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    Draw
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