Jesper De Jong vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Manama Challenger Men Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev
Result
2:1
11/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
95
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
60%61%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (46/58)67% (38/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (16/38)50% (18/36)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (19/57)21% (12/58)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (18/36)58% (22/38)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
65% (62/96)60% (56/93)
Return Points Won
40% (37/93)35% (34/96)
Total Points Won
52% (99/189)48% (90/189)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Jesper De Jong
57.7%
Aslan Karatsev
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.
  • Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aslan Karatsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.85)

    2.21
    (1.85)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • De Jong is ranked ATP: 109. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 225.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Mejia N.2 : 0
    2Broom C. (Alt)Dougaz A.1 : 2
    3Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)Andreev A. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Durasovic V. (Alt)Basilashvili N. (6)2 : 1
    5De Jong J. (3)Karatsev A.2 : 1
    6Sharipov M. (Q)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    7Jianu F. C.Bar Biryukov P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Lestienne C.Ajdukovic D. (7)1 : 2
    9Uchiyama Y. (5)Simakin I. (Q)0 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    11Kuzmanov D. (Q)Vavassori A. (WC)1 : 2
    12Karlovskiy E. (Q)Kukushkin M. (4)0 : 2
    13Atmane T. (8)Sun F. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Wong C.Bakshi A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Evans D.Paire B. (WC)2 : 1
    16Holt B.Kotov P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Dougaz A.2 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Durasovic V.0 : 2
    3De Jong J. (3)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    4Jianu F. C.Ajdukovic D. (7)1 : 2
    5Simakin I.Galarneau A.1 : 2
    6Vavassori A.Kukushkin M. (4)2 : 1
    7Atmane T. (8)Wong C.2 : 0
    8Evans D.Holt B.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    2Sharipov M.Ajdukovic D. (7)2 : 1
    3Galarneau A.Vavassori A.0 : 2
    4Atmane T. (8)Holt B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Sharipov M.2 : 0
    2Vavassori A.Holt B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Vavassori A.2 : 1