Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
56%60%
1st serve points won
81% (26/32)70% (26/37)
2nd serve points won
64% (16/25)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
32% (12/37)28% (9/32)
2nd return points won
64% (16/25)36% (9/25)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)0% (0/0)
Winners
1721
Unforced errors
1331
Net points won
71% (5/7)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
75% (42/56)57% (35/61)
Return Points Won
43% (26/61)25% (14/56)
Total Points Won
58% (68/117)42% (49/117)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (9/9)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)0% (0/9)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
34%
Jesper De Jong
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.11)

    1.42
    (1.65)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 40%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Jong (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Choinski (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 50%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 124. De Jong is ranked ATP: 86.
    • In recent matches, Choinski has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • De Jong has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • De Jong will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong were as follows:
    26.03.2024 Jesper De Jong - Jan Choinski 2:0
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2