Jesper De Jong vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Estoril Challenger Men Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca
Result
2:0
30/04/2025 at 15:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
56%66%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (24/28)62% (23/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (13/22)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
38% (14/37)14% (4/28)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (10/19)41% (9/22)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)100% (1/1)
Winners
1912
Unforced Errors
1425
Service Points Won
74% (37/50)57% (32/56)
Return Points Won
43% (24/56)26% (13/50)
Total Points Won
58% (61/106)42% (45/106)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jesper De Jong
22.6%
Joao Fonseca
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jesper De Jong's form might have worsened.
  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.12
    (3.18)

    1.21
    (1.32)
    6.7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fonseca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Jong is ranked ATP: 93. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 65.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fonseca is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Lajovic D. (Alt)Pellegrino A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Tien L.Elias G. (WC)1 : 2
    4Rocha H. (WC)Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    5Giron M. (4)Bye
    6Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)2 : 1
    7Faria J.Zapata Miralles B. (LL)0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Fonseca J. (8)2 : 0
    9Kecmanovic M. (5)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Coppejans K. (Alt)Yevseyev D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Zeppieri G. (Q)Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Martinez P. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Nardi L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    15Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Fonio G. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMichelsen A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Elias G.Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    3Giron M. (4)Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Zapata Miralles B.De Jong J.2 : 0
    5Kecmanovic M. (5)Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Borges N. (3)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Nardi L.0 : 2
    8Fonio G.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Kecmanovic M. (5)Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    4Nardi L.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M. (5)Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2