Jesper De Jong vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
70
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
61%79%
1st serve points won
76% (25/33)51% (21/41)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)45% (5/11)
Break Points Saved
0/15/9
1st return points won
49% (20/41)24% (8/33)
2nd return points won
55% (6/11)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
4/91/1
Winners
2812
Unforced errors
2322
Net points won
70% (7/10)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
66% (35/53)50% (26/52)
Return Points Won
50% (26/52)34% (18/53)
Total Points Won
58% (61/105)42% (44/105)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Jesper De Jong
48%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.82)

    1.79
    (1.86)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Llamas Ruiz: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Jong is ranked ATP: 91. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.
    • In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llamas Ruiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz were as follows:
    21.05.2024 Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 2:0
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Hassan B.2 : 1
    2Wessels L. (Q)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    4Damas M.Choinski J. (6)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Brancaccio R. (WC)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Izquierdo N.Carballes Baena R. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Engel J.Shelbayh A. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Gill F. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    14Gakhov I.Negritu Ch. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bailly G. A.Purtseladze S. (LL)2 : 1
    16Moro Canas A.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Choinski J. (6)2 : 1
    3Ofner S. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Kukushkin M.Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    5Pellegrino A. (7)Engel J.2 : 1
    6Gill F.Carreno-Busta P. (3)1 : 2
    7Coppejans K.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Bailly G. A.Moro Canas A.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    2Ofner S. (4)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (7)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    4Coppejans K.Bailly G. A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (3)Coppejans K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Carballes Baena R. (8)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2