Result
2:0
20/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 79% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (25/33) | 51% (21/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/1 | 5/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 24% (8/33) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 48% (10/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/9 | 1/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 50% (26/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 34% (18/53) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (61/105) | 42% (44/105) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Jesper De Jong 48% | Pablo Llamas Ruiz 52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.82) |
|
1.79 ↓ (1.86) |
6.9% (8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llamas Ruiz: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- De Jong is ranked ATP: 91. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.
- In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Llamas Ruiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Jesper De Jong won against Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Jesper De Jong has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Llamas Ruiz won against Jesper De Jong?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jesper De Jong - Pablo Llamas Ruiz were as follows:
21.05.2024
Jesper De Jong
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
2:0
Latest results of Jesper De Jong
Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |