Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 76% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (47/66) | 75% (49/65) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 33% (7/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/7 | 4/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (16/65) | 29% (19/66) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 52% (13/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/6 | 2/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 44 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 74% (14/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 65% (56/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (30/86) | 35% (32/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (89/177) | 50% (88/177) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Jesper De Jong
63.7% | Roberto Carballes Baena
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Carballes Baena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.61) |
|
2.54 ↑
(2.19) |
7.1%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Jong (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- De Jong is ranked ATP: 91. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 165.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- De Jong will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jesper De Jong won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Jesper De Jong has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Jesper De Jong?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
Latest results of Jesper De Jong
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
