Jesse Flores vs Matteo Covato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
63%66%
1st serve points won
81% (29/36)66% (35/53)
2nd serve points won
71% (15/21)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
0/06/8
1st return points won
36% (19/53)19% (7/36)
2nd return points won
56% (15/27)29% (6/21)
Break Points Converted
2/80/0
Winners
1922
Unforced errors
1436
Net points won
83% (20/24)56% (10/18)
Service Points Won
77% (44/57)60% (47/78)
Return Points Won
40% (31/78)23% (13/57)
Total Points Won
56% (75/135)44% (60/135)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Jesse Flores
71%
Matteo Covato
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jesse Flores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesse Flores than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesse Flores that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Covato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jesse Flores - Matteo Covato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.4)

    3.23
    (2.72)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Jesse Flores - Matteo Covato?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flores (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Flores is ranked ATP: 983. Covato is ranked ATP: 739.
    • Flores has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Covato is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Flores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Flores might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jesse Flores
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.0 : 2
    6Shah A. (RET.)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 1
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    8Zink T.Tobon M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Daniel T.0 : 2
    2Ayeni A.Martin A. (8)0 : 2
    3Mmoh M.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    4Huesler M. (5)Zink T.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Daniel T.Martin A. (8)2 : 1
    2Mmoh M.Zink T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Daniel T.Mmoh M.1 : 2