Jessica Pegula vs Danielle Collins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
17
1st Serve Percentage
63%49%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (25/38)65% (26/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)41% (17/41)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (14/40)34% (13/38)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (24/41)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
62% (37/60)53% (43/81)
Return Points Won
47% (38/81)38% (23/60)
Total Points Won
53% (75/141)47% (66/141)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
62.7%
Danielle Collins
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Danielle Collins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danielle Collins than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.41)

    2.55
    (2.62)
    5.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Collins will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 56.3%96.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jessica Pegula will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Collins is ranked WTA: 22.
    • Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
    • Pegula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Pegula won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Danielle Collins - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    25.03.2023 Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins 2:0
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Danielle Collins
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0