Result
2:1
25/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (48/71) | 74% (40/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 50% (16/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 8/10 | 6/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (15/54) | 32% (23/71) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (16/32) | 49% (21/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/8 | 2/10 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (69/114) | 65% (56/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (30/86) | 39% (45/114) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (99/200) | 51% (101/200) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 48% (13/27) |
Chances of winning
Elena Rybakina
66.4% | Jessica Pegula
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.61) |
|
2.86 ↑
(2.29) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Games - Rybakina (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Rybakina (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Elena Rybakina will win
(25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elena Rybakina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 4.
- Rybakina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pegula has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rybakina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Jessica Pegula?
Elena Rybakina has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Elena Rybakina?
Jessica Pegula has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
12.03.2026
Jessica Pegula
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
29.01.2026
Jessica Pegula
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
07.11.2025
Jessica Pegula
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
18.09.2025
Elena Rybakina
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
29.10.2023
Elena Rybakina
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Li A. | Birrell K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | McNally C. | Masarova R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Wang Xin. (29) | |
| 5 | Zheng Q. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brady J. (WC) | Stephens S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruse G. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Keys M. (15) | |
| 9 | Svitolina E. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Jones E. (WC) | Fruhvirtova L. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Baptiste H. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Samsonova L. (19) | |
| 13 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Yastremska D. | Krueger A. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Sun L. (Q) | Townsend T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 17 | Rybakina E. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Tjen J. | Putintseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Sierra S. | Rakhimova K. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (27) | |
| 21 | Jovic I. (18) | Bye | |
| 22 | Badosa P. | Sasnovich A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Bejlek S. | Gibson T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Osaka N. (16) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tagger L. (WC) | Seidel E. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Golubic V. (Q) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Cristian J. (34) | |
| 29 | Fernandez L. (26) | Bye | |
| 30 | Arango E. | Selekhmeteva O. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Jones F. | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Pegula J. (5) | |
| 33 | Anisimova A. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Waltert S. | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Lys E. | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Bucsa C. (30) | |
| 37 | Shnaider D. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Valentova T. | Volynets K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Sonmez Z. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Bencic B. (12) | |
| 41 | Noskova L. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Galfi D. (Alt) | Kalieva E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Mertens E. (21) | |
| 45 | Sakkari M. (33) | Bye | |
| 46 | Parks A. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Semenistaja D. (LL) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (4) | |
| 49 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Kessler M. | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Vidmanova D. (WC) | Jacquemot E. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Bouzkova M. (32) | |
| 53 | Kalinskaya A. (22) | Bye | |
| 54 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Bondar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Kenin S. | Blinkova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Siniakova K. | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Boulter K. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Tauson C. (17) | |
| 61 | Eala A. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | Siegemund L. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Linette M. | Gracheva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | McNally C. | Wang Xin. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng Q. (23) | Stephens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ruse G. | Keys M. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svitolina E. (9) | Jones E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Baptiste H. | Samsonova L. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Yastremska D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Townsend T. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (3) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Rakhimova K. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jovic I. (18) | Badosa P. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Gibson T. | Osaka N. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Tagger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stearns P. | Cristian J. (34) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. (26) | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jones F. (RET.) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Anisimova A. (6) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Starodubtseva Y. | Bucsa C. (RET.) (30) | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Shnaider D. (20) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Sonmez Z. | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (14) | Cirstea S. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Kalieva E. | Mertens E. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Sakkari M. (33) | Parks A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Cocciaretto E. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (8) | Kessler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Jacquemot E. | Bouzkova M. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Kalinskaya A. (22) | Zakharova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Blinkova A. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (13) | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Boulter K. | Tauson C. (RET.) (17) | 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Eala A. (31) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Linette M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng Q. (23) | Keys M. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Svitolina E. (9) | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (3) | Kostyuk M. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jovic I. (18) | Gibson T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Cristian J. (34) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. (26) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Anisimova A. (6) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Shnaider D. (20) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Cirstea S. | Mertens E. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Parks A. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bouzkova M. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Zakharova A. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (13) | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Eala A. (31) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baptiste H. | Ostapenko J. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (3) | Gibson T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cristian J. (34) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Anisimova A. (6) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (8) | Mboko V. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (13) | Eala A. (31) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (3) | Pegula J. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (12) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Mboko V. (10) | Muchova K. (13) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Muchova K. (13) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Gauff C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
