Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Australian Open
Result
0:2
29/01/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
brazilBrazilESPN 2, ESPN
bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
canadaCanadaRDS App
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1, HBO Max
finlandFinlandEurosport 1, HBO Max
franceFranceEurosport 1, HBO Max
germanyGermanyEurosport 1
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1, HBO Max
italyItalyEurosport 1
mexicoMexicoESPN
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsEurosport 1, HBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayEurosport 1, HBO Max
peruPeruESPN
polandPolandEurosport 1, HBO Max
portugalPortugalEurosport 1
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1, HBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainEurosport 1, HBO Max, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenEurosport 1, HBO Max
switzerlandSwitzerlandSRF 2, SRF 2
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
65%55%
1st serve points won
62% (31/50)73% (29/40)
2nd serve points won
37% (10/27)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)25% (1/4)
Average 1st serve speed
158 km/h178 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
134 km/h139 km/h
1st return points won
33% (13/40)40% (20/50)
2nd return points won
52% (17/33)63% (17/27)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)40% (4/10)
Winners
1431
Unforced errors
1929
Net points won
86% (6/7)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
53% (40/76)62% (45/73)
Return Points Won
38% (28/73)47% (36/76)
Total Points Won
46% (68/149)54% (81/149)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
30
Service games won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
34.3%		Elena Rybakina
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%

Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.79 ↑
(2.65)
1.46 ↓
(1.46)		 4.5%
(6.1%)
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 20%). Rybakina will win (votes: 28 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 66.7% – 93.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Pegula (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - Rybakina (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Rybakina (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elena Rybakina will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Rybakina (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 5.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2.
    • In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
    • Rybakina could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina 1:2
    18.09.2025 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    29.10.2023 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    30.03.2023 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 0:0
    19.10.2022 Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina 2:1
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    27.01.2026 Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova 2:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys 2:0 ✺
    23.01.2026 Jessica Pegula - Oksana Selekhmeteva 2:0 ✺
    21.01.2026 Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler 2:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Zakharova 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    27.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek 2:0 ✺
    26.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Tereza Valentova 2:0 ✺
    22.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva 2:0 ✺
    19.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Kaja Juvan 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    2Pavlyuchenkova A.Bai Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Lamens S.Potapova A.1 : 2
    4Sawangkaew M.Raducanu E. (28)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (17)Jones E. (WC)2 : 0
    6McNally C.Sakatsume H. (Q)2 : 0
    7Kudermetova P.Maristany G. (Q)2 : 0
    8Galfi D.Tauson C. (14)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (11)Sonmez Z. (Q)1 : 2
    10Bondar A.Mandlik E. (WC)2 : 0
    11Putintseva Y.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    12Jacquemot E.Kostyuk M. (20)2 : 1
    13Jovic I. (29)Volynets K.2 : 0
    14Hon P. (WC)Stakusic M. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    15Erjavec V.Frech M.0 : 2
    16Sasnovich A. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Gauff C. (3)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    18Danilovic O.Williams V. (WC)2 : 1
    19Hunter S. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    20Baptiste H.Townsend T. (LL)2 : 1
    21Muchova K. (19)Cristian J.2 : 0
    22Parks A.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Li A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    24Linette M.Navarro E. (15)2 : 1
    25Svitolina E. (12)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    26Klimovicova L. (Q)Jones F. (RET.)1 : 0
    27Gibson T. (WC)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    28Krejcikova B.Shnaider D. (23)1 : 2
    29Yastremska D. (26)Ruse G.0 : 2
    30Starodubtseva Y. (Q)Tomljanovic A.1 : 2
    31Sakkari M.Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    32Vekic D.Andreeva M. (8)1 : 2
    33Pegula J. (6)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    34Arango E.Kessler M.0 : 2
    35Selekhmeteva O.Seidel E.2 : 1
    36Diyas Z. (WC)Badosa P. (25)0 : 2
    37Fernandez L. (22)Tjen J.0 : 2
    38Pliskova Ka.Stephens S. (Q)2 : 0
    39Krueger A.Bejlek S.2 : 0
    40Oliynykova O.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    41Noskova L. (13)Semenistaja D.2 : 0
    42Zhang S.Preston T. (WC)1 : 2
    43Wang Xin.Kalinina A. (Q)2 : 0
    44Sramkova R.Ostapenko J. (24)0 : 2
    45Kenin S. (27)Stearns P.0 : 2
    46Marcinko P.Maria T.2 : 0
    47Udvardy P.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    48Waltert S.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    49Rybakina E. (5)Juvan K.2 : 0
    50Gracheva V.Golubic V.2 : 1
    51Sun L.Fruhvirtova L. (Q)0 : 2
    52Valentova T.Joint M. (30)2 : 0
    53Mertens E. (21)Tararudee L. (Q)2 : 0
    54Sierra S.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    55Kasatkina D.Bartunkova N. (Q)1 : 2
    56Boulter K.Bencic B. (10)0 : 2
    57Osaka N. (16)Ruzic A.2 : 1
    58Cirstea S.Lys E.2 : 1
    59Inglis M. (Q)Birrell K.2 : 1
    60Siegemund L.Samsonova L. (18)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (31)Kartal S.2 : 0
    62Grabher J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    63Zarazua R.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    64Yuan Y. (Q)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bai Z.2 : 0
    2Potapova A.Raducanu E. (28)2 : 0
    3Mboko V. (17)McNally C.2 : 0
    4Kudermetova P.Tauson C. (14)1 : 2
    5Sonmez Z.Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Putintseva Y.Jacquemot E.2 : 0
    7Jovic I. (29)Hon P.2 : 0
    8Frech M.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Gauff C. (3)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    10Hunter S.Baptiste H.0 : 2
    11Muchova K. (19)Parks A.2 : 1
    12Li A.Linette M.0 : 2
    13Svitolina E. (12)Klimovicova L.2 : 0
    14Gibson T.Shnaider D. (23)1 : 2
    15Ruse G.Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (6)Kessler M.2 : 0
    18Selekhmeteva O.Badosa P. (25)2 : 0
    19Tjen J.Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    20Krueger A.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (13)Preston T.2 : 1
    22Wang Xin.Ostapenko J. (24)2 : 1
    23Stearns P.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    24Siniakova K.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    26Fruhvirtova L.Valentova T.1 : 2
    27Mertens E. (21)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    28Bartunkova N.Bencic B. (10)2 : 1
    29Osaka N. (16)Cirstea S.2 : 1
    30Inglis M.Siegemund L.2 : 1
    31Kalinskaya A. (31)Grabher J.2 : 0
    32Bouzkova M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Potapova A.2 : 0
    2Mboko V. (17)Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    3Sonmez Z.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    4Jovic I. (29)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Gauff C. (3)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    6Muchova K. (19)Linette M.2 : 0
    7Svitolina E. (12)Shnaider D. (23)2 : 0
    8Ruse G.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (6)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    10Pliskova Ka.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    11Noskova L. (13)Wang Xin.0 : 2
    12Stearns P.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (5)Valentova T.2 : 0
    14Mertens E. (21)Bartunkova N.2 : 0
    15Osaka N. (16)Inglis M. (WO.)
    16Kalinskaya A. (31)Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mboko V. (17)2 : 0
    2Putintseva Y.Jovic I. (29)0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Muchova K. (19)2 : 1
    4Svitolina E. (12)Andreeva M. (8)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (6)Keys M. (9)2 : 0
    6Wang Xin.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (5)Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    8Inglis M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Jovic I. (29)2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (3)Svitolina E. (12)0 : 2
    3Pegula J. (6)Anisimova A. (4)2 : 0
    4Rybakina E. (5)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    2Pegula J. (6)Rybakina E. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (5)1 : 2
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