Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Finals Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina
Result
1:2
07/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh - Play Offs, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
115
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
68%64%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (41/69)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (15/32)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)41% (28/69)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (18/32)53% (17/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)45% (5/11)
Winners
636
Unforced Errors
3657
Service Points Won
55% (56/101)62% (55/89)
Return Points Won
38% (34/89)45% (45/101)
Total Points Won
47% (90/190)53% (100/190)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
38.5%
Elena Rybakina
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%

Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.58
(1.52)

1.69
(2.45)
-2%
(6.6%)
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina?
  • Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elena Rybakina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 6.
    • Recent performances by Pegula have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rybakina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rybakina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    29.10.2023 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    30.03.2023 Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula 0:0
    19.10.2022 Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina 2:1
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    05.11.2025 Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys Canceled
    24.10.2025 Linda Noskova - Elena Rybakina Noskova L. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (4)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (5)Rybakina E. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (6)0 : 2