Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 79% (26/33) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 60% (9/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 36% (14/39) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 67% (18/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 36% (4/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 73% (35/48) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 48% (32/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (47/114) | 59% (67/114) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Elina Svitolina
40.9% | Jessica Pegula
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.13) |
|
1.63 ↓
(1.66) |
4.6%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 Games - Pegula (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jessica Pegula will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jessica Pegula will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pegula (votes: 8 - 72.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Svitolina is ranked WTA: 9. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 2.
- Recent performances by Svitolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pegula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pegula could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Elina Svitolina won against Jessica Pegula?
Elina Svitolina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Elina Svitolina?
Jessica Pegula has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
11.03.2025
Elina Svitolina
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
11.02.2025
Elina Svitolina
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
29.07.2024
Jessica Pegula
-
Elina Svitolina
1:2
02.09.2023
Elina Svitolina
-
Jessica Pegula
1:2
04.08.2023
Jessica Pegula
-
Elina Svitolina
2:1
Latest results of Elina Svitolina
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Rybakina E. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Maria T. | Birrell K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ruzic A. (LL) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Zakharova A. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bencic B. (9) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonmez Z. (WC) | Bejlek S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Siniakova K. | Badosa P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Svitolina E. (7) | |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Ostapenko J. | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Bouzkova M. | Mertens E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ruse G. (Q) | Navarro E. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Noskova L. (10) | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Cirstea S. | Sasnovich A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL) | Eala A. | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 17 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Sun L. (WC) | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Stearns P. (LL) | Frech M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Kenin S. | Tauson C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Jovic I. (16) | Rakhimova K. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Shnaider D. | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Sramkova R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Siegemund L. | Kasatkina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Seidel E. (Q) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Cristian J. | Marcinko P. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Samsonova L. (13) | Fernandez L. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Yastremska D. | Tjen J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Krejcikova B. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Anisimova A. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Rybakina E. (1) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruzic A. | Zakharova A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (WO.) (9) | Bejlek S. | |
| 4 | Badosa P. (RET.) | Svitolina E. (7) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Mertens E. | Navarro E. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noskova L. (10) | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Eala A. | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Stearns P. | Tauson C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jovic I. (16) | Shnaider D. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Gracheva V. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (WO.) (5) | Kasatkina D. | |
| 14 | Seidel E. (RET.) | Cristian J. | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Tjen J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Krejcikova B. | Anisimova A. (WO.) (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rybakina E. (RET.) (1) | Ruzic A. | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bencic B. (9) | Svitolina E. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Mertens E. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cirstea S. | Eala A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Linette M. | Tauson C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jovic I. (16) | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (5) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Tjen J. | Anisimova A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ruzic A. | Svitolina E. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tauson C. (12) | Pegula J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Andreeva M. (5) | Anisimova A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Svitolina E. (7) | Gauff C. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (4) | Anisimova A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Svitolina E. (7) | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
