Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Finals Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini
Result
2:0
06/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
71%70%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (25/30)53% (25/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
47% (22/47)17% (5/30)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (11/20)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)0% (0/1)
Winners
54
Unforced Errors
714
Service Points Won
80% (33/41)52% (34/65)
Return Points Won
48% (31/65)20% (8/41)
Total Points Won
60% (64/106)40% (42/106)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
72.8%
Jasmine Paolini
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%

Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.47)

3.44
(2.67)
4.2%
(5.6%)
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Paolini will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 83.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jessica Pegula will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
    • Pegula is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paolini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    10.08.2023 Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (4)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (5)Rybakina E. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (6)0 : 2