Result
2:0
06/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (25/30) | 53% (25/47) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 45% (9/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 17% (5/30) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 25% (3/12) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (33/41) | 52% (34/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 20% (8/41) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (64/106) | 40% (42/106) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Jessica Pegula
72.8% | Jasmine Paolini
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Pegula that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.47) |
|
3.44 ↑
(2.67) |
4.2%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Paolini will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 83.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -4.5 Games - Pegula (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5 Games - Pegula (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5 Games - Pegula (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jessica Pegula will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
- Pegula is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Paolini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Jasmine Paolini?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Jessica Pegula?
Jasmine Paolini has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
21.09.2025
Jasmine Paolini
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
10.08.2023
Jessica Pegula
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Draw
Singles - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Anisimova A. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (5) | Rybakina E. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
