Result
1:2
09/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 78% (35/45) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (10/45) | 39% (15/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (35/66) | 67% (45/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 47% (31/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (57/133) | 57% (76/133) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 61% (14/23) |
Chances of winning
Katerina Siniakova
34.7% | Jessica Pegula
65.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katerina Siniakova's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
|
1.48 ↑
(1.3) |
3.8%
(9.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 50%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Siniakova is ranked WTA: 62. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.
- Siniakova has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pegula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Katerina Siniakova won against Jessica Pegula?
Katerina Siniakova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Katerina Siniakova?
Jessica Pegula has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
24.06.2025
Jessica Pegula
-
Katerina Siniakova
2:0
22.06.2024
Jessica Pegula
-
Katerina Siniakova
2:1
Latest results of Katerina Siniakova
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sramkova R. | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Kenin S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arango E. (LL) | Samsonova L. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osaka N. (11) | Fernandez L. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Noskova L. | Putintseva Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kessler M. | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Rybakina E. (8) | |
| 9 | Jovic I. (LL) | Bye | |
| 10 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhu L. | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Siniakova K. (Q) | Shnaider D. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Mboko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Raducanu E. (RET.) | Li A. | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Krueger A. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Pegula J. (6) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Yastremska D. (RET.) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 1 |
| 19 | Frech M. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Kostyuk M. | Muchova K. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Navarro E. (14) | Zhang S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Ostapenko J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 23 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bronzetti L. (Q) | Yuan Y. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Danilovic O. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bencic B. (13) | Vekic D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Mertens E. | Kudermetova P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Osorio C. (WC) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kenin S. | Samsonova L. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (11) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jovic I. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Joint M. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Baptiste H. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (5) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Muchova K. (RET.) (12) | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Uchijima M. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (7) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Ruzic A. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bencic B. (WO.) (13) | Mertens E. | |
| 16 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jovic I. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Siegemund L. | Frech M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhang S. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (7) | Tauson C. (RET.) (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bencic B. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Siegemund L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paolini J. (7) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (6) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
