Result
2:1
18/06/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (59/73) | 73% (55/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 52% (37/71) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (20/75) | 19% (14/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 50% (31/62) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (2/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (90/135) | 63% (92/146) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (54/146) | 33% (45/135) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (144/281) | 49% (137/281) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 83% (15/18) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 11% (2/18) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 47% (17/36) |
Chances of winning
Ludmilla Samsonova
41.7% | Jessica Pegula
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.49) |
|
1.64 ↑
(1.54) |
4.8%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 50%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Samsonova is ranked WTA: 20. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ludmilla Samsonova won against Jessica Pegula?
Ludmilla Samsonova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Ludmilla Samsonova?
Jessica Pegula has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
18.02.2025
Ludmilla Samsonova
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
13.08.2023
Jessica Pegula
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
2:0
Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kenin S. (Q) | Masarova R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomova V. (Q) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. | Krueger A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dolehide C. (Q) | Jabeur O. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shnaider D. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vondrousova M. | Keys M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Frech M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Anisimova A. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Osaka N. (WC) | Samsonova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Badosa P. (8) | Lys E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Rybakina E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (4) | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shnaider D. | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Frech M. | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Samsonova L. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Badosa P. (8) | Navarro E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jabeur O. | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Anisimova A. | Samsonova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Badosa P. (RET.) (8) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Vondrousova M. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
