Ludmilla Samsonova vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Berlin Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula
Result
2:1
18/06/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
182
Double Faults
28
1st Serve Percentage
54%51%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (59/73)73% (55/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (31/62)52% (37/71)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)79% (11/14)
1st Return Points Won
27% (20/75)19% (14/73)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (34/71)50% (31/62)
Break Points Converted
21% (3/14)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
67% (90/135)63% (92/146)
Return Points Won
37% (54/146)33% (45/135)
Total Points Won
51% (144/281)49% (137/281)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
89% (16/18)83% (15/18)
Return Games Won
17% (3/18)11% (2/18)
Total Games Won
53% (19/36)47% (17/36)

Chances of winning


Ludmilla Samsonova
41.7%
Jessica Pegula
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.49)

    1.64
    (1.54)
    4.8%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 50%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samsonova is ranked WTA: 20. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    13.08.2023 Jessica Pegula - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Kenin S. (Q)Masarova R. (Q)0 : 2
    3Tomova V. (Q)Siniakova K. (Q)0 : 2
    4Rybakina E.Krueger A. (LL)2 : 0
    5Paolini J. (4)Bye
    6Dolehide C. (Q)Jabeur O. (LL)0 : 2
    7Shnaider D.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Vondrousova M.Keys M. (7)2 : 0
    9Andreeva M. (6)Frech M.1 : 2
    10Anisimova A.Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    11Osaka N. (WC)Samsonova L.1 : 2
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Badosa P. (8)Lys E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Kostyuk M.Navarro E.0 : 2
    15Wang Xin. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 0
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Rybakina E.0 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Jabeur O.0 : 2
    4Shnaider D.Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    5Frech M.Anisimova A.1 : 2
    6Samsonova L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Badosa P. (8)Navarro E.2 : 0
    8Wang Xin.Gauff C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E.2 : 1
    2Jabeur O.Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    3Anisimova A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    4Badosa P. (RET.) (8)Wang Xin.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    2Samsonova L.Wang Xin.0 : 2

    Final
    1Vondrousova M.Wang Xin.2 : 1