Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Adelaide Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys
Result
1:2
11/01/2025 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide (Australia), hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
65%68%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (36/59)73% (37/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (12/32)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
27% (14/51)39% (23/59)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)63% (20/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
53% (48/91)67% (50/75)
Return Points Won
33% (25/75)47% (43/91)
Total Points Won
44% (73/166)56% (93/166)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
38% (10/26)62% (16/26)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
47.7%
Madison Keys
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.79)

    1.82
    (1.97)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Keys will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 51.2%84.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 7. Keys is ranked WTA: 20.
    • Keys is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Keys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.74.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys were as follows:
    04.09.2023 Madison Keys - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    14.10.2022 Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys 2:0
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Noskova L.Sakkari M. (LL)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M.Krueger A. (LL)1 : 2
    4Stearns P. (Q)Badosa P. (5)1 : 2
    5Collins D. (4)Jabeur O. (WC)0 : 2
    6Vekic D.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    7Pavlyuchenkova A.Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    8Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 2
    9Ostapenko J. (8)Frech M.2 : 1
    10Haddad Maia B.Keys M.0 : 2
    11Wang Xin. (Q)Jones E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Gadecki O. (WC)Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Kalinskaya A. (RET.) (7)Bencic B. (Q)0 : 1
    14Bouzkova M. (Q)Samsonova L.1 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (Q)Alexandrova E.1 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    2Krueger A.Badosa P. (5)2 : 1
    3Jabeur O.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 0
    5Ostapenko J. (8)Keys M.1 : 2
    6Jones E.Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Bencic B.Samsonova L.1 : 2
    8Alexandrova E.Navarro E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Krueger A. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Putintseva Y.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 1
    3Keys M.Kasatkina D. (3)2 : 0
    4Samsonova L.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    2Keys M.Samsonova L. (RET.)1 : 1

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Keys M.1 : 2