Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/01/2025 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide (Australia), hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
65%68%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (36/59)73% (37/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (12/32)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
27% (14/51)39% (23/59)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)63% (20/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
53% (48/91)67% (50/75)
Return Points Won
33% (25/75)47% (43/91)
Total Points Won
44% (73/166)56% (93/166)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
38% (10/26)62% (16/26)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
47.7%
Madison Keys
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%

Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.99
(1.79)

1.82
(1.97)
5.5%
(6.7%)
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Keys will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 51.2%84.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 7. Keys is ranked WTA: 20.
    • Keys is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Keys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.74.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys were as follows:
    04.09.2023 Madison Keys - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    14.10.2022 Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys 2:0
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Andreeva M. (3)Bye
    2Badosa P.Bouzkova M. (LL)1 : 2
    3Joint M.Kenin S.
    4Tomljanovic A. (WC)Tauson C. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (9)Fernandez L.
    6Cirstea S. (Q)Yastremska D.
    7Putintseva Y. (Q)Galfi D. (Q)
    8Jones E. (WC)Navarro E. (6)0 : 2
    9Samsonova L. (7)Vondrousova M.
    10Birrell K. (WC)Potapova A. (LL)
    11Kasatkina D.Sakkari M. (WC)
    12Cristian J. (Q)Alexandrova E. (4)2 : 0
    13Mboko V. (8)Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    14Kalinskaya A.Ruse G. (Q)2 : 0
    15Ostapenko J.Valentova T. (Q)
    16ByeKeys M. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Andreeva M. (3)Bouzkova M.
    2TBD #3Tomljanovic A.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Navarro E. (6)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Cristian J.
    7Mboko V. (8)Kalinskaya A.
    8TBD #15Keys M. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2