Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Montreal Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula
Result
0:2
30/07/2025 at 16:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
53%65%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (18/33)73% (35/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)31% (8/26)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
27% (13/48)45% (15/33)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (18/26)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
53% (33/62)58% (43/74)
Return Points Won
42% (31/74)47% (29/62)
Total Points Won
47% (64/136)53% (72/136)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Maria Sakkari
28.5%
Jessica Pegula
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 70.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (2.77)

    1.33
    (1.37)
    4.8%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakkari is ranked WTA: 72. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 1.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pegula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    07.01.2025 Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari 2:0
    02.11.2023 Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari 2:0
    30.09.2023 Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    05.08.2023 Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari 1:2
    17.02.2023 Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula 1:2
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Bye
    2Collins D.Tomova V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Bucsa C. (Q)Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    4ByeDanilovic O. (29)
    5Kenin S. (23)Bye
    6Birrell K.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Uchijima M.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (14)
    9Alexandrova E. (12)Bye
    10Zhu L.Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lamens S.Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (18)
    13Krueger A. (26)Bye
    14Chirico L. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    15Volynets K. (Q)Ito A. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    19Joint M.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20ByeKessler M. (28)
    21Kostyuk M. (24)Bye
    22Vondrousova M.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Dolehide C.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    24ByeKasatkina D. (15)
    25Rybakina E. (9)Bye
    26Osuigwe W. (Q)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    27Cristian J.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 1
    28ByeNoskova L. (20)
    29Yastremska D. (30)Bye
    30Pera B. (Q)Osorio C.0 : 2
    31Jacquemot E. (Q)Marino R. (WC)0 : 2
    32ByeNavarro E. (8)
    33Anisimova A. (5)Bye
    34Cirstea S.Sun L.0 : 2
    35Ruse G.Raducanu E.0 : 2
    36ByeStearns P. (32)
    37Mertens E. (19)Bye
    38Li A.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    39Rakhimova K. (Q)Cross K.2 : 1
    40ByeSvitolina E. (10)
    41Samsonova L. (13)Bye
    42Arseneault A. (Q)Osaka N.0 : 2
    43Boulter K.Zarazua R.0 : 2
    44ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    45Linette M. (25)Bye
    46Tomljanovic A.Sevastova A.1 : 2
    47Sakkari M.Branstine C. (WC)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (6)Bye
    50Maria T.Siegemund L. (Q)1 : 2
    51Parks A.McNally C.1 : 2
    52ByeSramkova R. (31)
    53Bencic B. (17)Bye
    54Bouchard E. (WC)Arango E.2 : 1
    55Ruzic A. (Q)Potapova A.2 : 1
    56ByeMuchova K. (11)
    57Tauson C. (16)Bye
    58Mandlik E. (WC)Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    59Wang Y. (Q)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    60ByeFrech M. (21)
    61Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Bye
    62Lys E.Jeanjean L. (Q)2 : 0
    63Putintseva Y.Guo H. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Collins D.2 : 1
    2Kudermetova V.Danilovic O. (29)2 : 0
    3Kenin S. (23)Mboko V.0 : 2
    4Bouzkova M.Shnaider D. (14)2 : 0
    5Alexandrova E. (12)Zhu L.1 : 2
    6Lamens S.Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 1
    7Krueger A. (26)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    8Ito A.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    9Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)Andreescu B.
    10Joint M.Kessler M. (28)1 : 2
    11Kostyuk M. (24)Vondrousova M.2 : 1
    12Blinkova A.Kasatkina D. (15)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (9)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    14Cristian J.Noskova L. (20)2 : 0
    15Yastremska D. (30)Osorio C.2 : 1
    16Marino R.Navarro E. (8)0 : 2
    17Anisimova A. (5)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Raducanu E.Stearns P. (32)2 : 0
    19Mertens E. (19)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    20Rakhimova K.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    21Samsonova L. (13)Osaka N.1 : 2
    22Zarazua R.Ostapenko J. (22)1 : 2
    23Linette M. (25)Sevastova A.1 : 2
    24Sakkari M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (6)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    26McNally C.Sramkova R. (31)2 : 0
    27Bencic B. (17)Bouchard E.2 : 1
    28Ruzic A.Muchova K. (11)0 : 2
    29Tauson C. (16)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    30Starodubtseva Y.Frech M. (21)2 : 0
    31Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Lys E.0 : 2
    32Guo H.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Kudermetova V.
    2Mboko V.Bouzkova M.
    3Zhu L.Lamens S.
    4Bouzas Maneiro J.Ito A.
    5Andreeva M. (4)Kessler M. (28)
    6Kostyuk M. (24)Kasatkina D. (15)
    7Rybakina E. (9)Cristian J.
    8Yastremska D. (30)Navarro E. (8)
    9Anisimova A. (5)Raducanu E.
    10Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (10)
    11Osaka N.Ostapenko J. (22)
    12Sevastova A.Pegula J. (3)
    13Keys M. (6)McNally C.
    14Bencic B. (17)Muchova K. (11)
    15Tauson C. (16)Starodubtseva Y.
    16Lys E.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2