Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/03/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	1
Double Faults
5	2
1st Serve Percentage
57%	73%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (22/39)	72% (23/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (11/29)	75% (9/12)
Break Points Saved
74% (14/19)	75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
28% (9/32)	44% (17/39)
2nd Return Points Won
25% (3/12)	62% (18/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)	26% (5/19)
Service Points Won
49% (33/68)	73% (32/44)
Return Points Won
27% (12/44)	51% (35/68)
Total Points Won
40% (45/112)	60% (67/112)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)	88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)	56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)	71% (12/17)

Chances of winning

Marta Kostyuk
36.8%

Jessica Pegula
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.22)		1.51 ↑ (1.35)	5.1% (5.1%)

What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 35.2% – 92%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 29. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.46.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Kostyuk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Jessica Pegula?

Marta Kostyuk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Marta Kostyuk?

Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

02.03.2024 Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk 0:2

19.01.2023 Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk 2:0

Latest results of Marta Kostyuk

23.03.2025 Anna Blinkova - Marta Kostyuk 0:2 ✺

21.03.2025 Kimberly Birrell - Marta Kostyuk 1:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Qinwen Zheng - Marta Kostyuk 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Caroline Dolehide 2:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Robin Montgomery 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

23.03.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

21.03.2025 Bernarda Pera - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Xin Yu Wang - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Magda Linette - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Tomova V.	McNally C.	2 : 1
3	Ruse G. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Frech M. (29)
5	Vekic D. (21)	Bye
6	Masarova R. (Q)	Minnen G. (Q)	2 : 1
7	Cirstea S.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Collins D. (14)
9	Zheng Q. (9)	Bye
10	Davis L.	Ito A. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Townsend T. (Q)	Li A.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Putintseva Y. (19)
13	Fernandez L. (26)	Bye
14	Gracheva V.	Parks A.	1 : 2
15	Zarazua R.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Rybakina E. (7)
17	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
18	Kvitova P. (WC)	Kenin S.	0 : 2
19	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Bronzetti L.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Sakkari M. (28)
21	Alexandrova E. (18)	Bye
22	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Linette M.	0 : 2
23	Liu C. (Q)	Fruhvirtova L. (Q)	1 : 2
24	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (16)
25	Kasatkina D. (12)	Bye
26	Danilovic O.	Baptiste H. (WC)	1 : 2
27	Osaka N.	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	2 : 1
28	Bye	Samsonova L. (24)
29	Jabeur O. (31)	Bye
30	Yuan Y.	Siniakova K.	1 : 2
31	Stefanini L. (Q)	Sramkova R.	1 : 2
32	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
33	Navarro E. (8)	Bye
34	Ishii S. (WC)	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
35	Kessler M.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Noskova L. (30)
37	Anisimova A. (17)	Bye
38	Sherif M.	Sun L.	2 : 1
39	Kudermetova V.	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Andreeva M. (11)
41	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
42	Rakhimova K.	Blinkova A.	1 : 2
43	Potapova A.	Birrell K. (Q/LL)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Kostyuk M. (23)
45	Kalinskaya A. (32)	Bye
46	Lamens S.	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
47	Tomljanovic A. (WC)	Pera B. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Andreeva E. (WC)	Avanesyan E.	1 : 2
51	Eala A. (WC)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Ostapenko J. (25)
53	Tauson C. (20)	Bye
54	Grant T. C. (WC)	Grabher J.	0 : 2
55	Osorio C.	Mboko V. (WC)	1 : 2
56	Bye	Badosa P. (10)
57	Muchova K. (15)	Bye
58	Kalinina A.	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
59	Yastremska D.	Bencic B.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Svitolina E. (22)
61	Mertens E. (27)	Bye
62	Boulter K.	Stearns P.	0 : 2
63	Garcia C.	Bondar A. (Q)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Tomova V.	2 : 0
2	Ruse G.	Frech M. (29)	2 : 0
3	Vekic D. (21)	Masarova R.	0 : 2
4	Cirstea S.	Collins D. (14)	0 : 2
5	Zheng Q. (9)	Davis L.	2 : 0
6	Townsend T.	Putintseva Y. (19)	2 : 1
7	Fernandez L. (26)	Parks A.	2 : 0
8	Krueger A.	Rybakina E. (7)	2 : 1
9	Gauff C. (3)	Kenin S.	2 : 0
10	Bronzetti L.	Sakkari M. (28)	1 : 2
11	Alexandrova E. (18)	Linette M.	0 : 2
12	Fruhvirtova L.	Haddad Maia B. (16)	2 : 0
13	Kasatkina D. (12)	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
14	Osaka N.	Samsonova L.	2 : 0
15	Jabeur O. (31)	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
16	Sramkova R.	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 2
17	Navarro E. (8)	Raducanu E.	1 : 2
18	Kessler M.	Noskova L. (30)	2 : 1
19	Anisimova A. (17)	Sherif M.	2 : 0
20	Kudermetova V.	Andreeva M. (11)	0 : 2
21	Shnaider D. (13)	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
22	Birrell K.	Kostyuk M. (23)	1 : 2
23	Kalinskaya A. (32)	Uchijima M.	2 : 0
24	Pera B.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Avanesyan E.	2 : 0
26	Eala A.	Ostapenko J. (25)	2 : 0
27	Tauson C. (20)	Grabher J.	2 : 0
28	Mboko V.	Badosa P. (10)	1 : 2
29	Muchova K. (15)	Azarenka V. (RET.)	1 : 0
30	Bencic B.	Svitolina E. (22)	0 : 2
31	Mertens E. (27)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
32	Garcia C.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Ruse G. (RET.)	1 : 0
2	Masarova R.	Collins D. (14)	1 : 2
3	Zheng Q. (9)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
4	Fernandez L. (26)	Krueger A.	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (3)	Sakkari M. (28)	2 : 0
6	Linette M.	Fruhvirtova L.	2 : 0
7	Baptiste H.	Osaka N.	1 : 2
8	Jabeur O. (RET.) (31)	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 0
9	Raducanu E.	Kessler M. (RET.)	1 : 0
10	Anisimova A. (17)	Andreeva M. (11)	2 : 1
11	Blinkova A.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
12	Kalinskaya A. (32)	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
13	Keys M. (5)	Eala A.	0 : 2
14	Tauson C. (20)	Badosa P. (10)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (15)	Svitolina E. (22)	1 : 2
16	Mertens E. (27)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Collins D. (14)	2 : 0
2	Zheng Q. (9)	Krueger A.	2 : 0
3	Gauff C. (3)	Linette M.	0 : 2
4	Osaka N.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
5	Raducanu E.	Anisimova A. (17)	2 : 0
6	Kostyuk M. (23)	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
7	Eala A. (WO.)	Badosa P. (10)
8	Svitolina E. (22)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (9)	2 : 0
2	Linette M.	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 2
3	Raducanu E.	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
4	Eala A.	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
2	Pegula J. (4)	Eala A.	2 : 1

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Pegula J. (4)

2 : 0