Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Miami Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula
Result
0:2
24/03/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
57%73%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (22/39)72% (23/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (11/29)75% (9/12)
Break Points Saved
74% (14/19)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
28% (9/32)44% (17/39)
2nd Return Points Won
25% (3/12)62% (18/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)26% (5/19)
Service Points Won
49% (33/68)73% (32/44)
Return Points Won
27% (12/44)51% (35/68)
Total Points Won
40% (45/112)60% (67/112)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Marta Kostyuk
36.8%
Jessica Pegula
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.
  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (3.22)

    1.51
    (1.35)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 29. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
    • Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
    • Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.46.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Kostyuk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk 0:2
    19.01.2023 Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk 2:0
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Tomova V.McNally C.2 : 1
    3Ruse G. (Q)Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    4ByeFrech M. (29)
    5Vekic D. (21)Bye
    6Masarova R. (Q)Minnen G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Cirstea S.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    8ByeCollins D. (14)
    9Zheng Q. (9)Bye
    10Davis L.Ito A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Townsend T. (Q)Li A.2 : 1
    12ByePutintseva Y. (19)
    13Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    14Gracheva V.Parks A.1 : 2
    15Zarazua R.Krueger A.0 : 2
    16ByeRybakina E. (7)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Kvitova P. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    19Bouzas Maneiro J.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    20ByeSakkari M. (28)
    21Alexandrova E. (18)Bye
    22Pavlyuchenkova A.Linette M.0 : 2
    23Liu C. (Q)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)1 : 2
    24ByeHaddad Maia B. (16)
    25Kasatkina D. (12)Bye
    26Danilovic O.Baptiste H. (WC)1 : 2
    27Osaka N.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    28ByeSamsonova L. (24)
    29Jabeur O. (31)Bye
    30Yuan Y.Siniakova K.1 : 2
    31Stefanini L. (Q)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    32ByePaolini J. (6)
    33Navarro E. (8)Bye
    34Ishii S. (WC)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    35Kessler M.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    36ByeNoskova L. (30)
    37Anisimova A. (17)Bye
    38Sherif M.Sun L.2 : 1
    39Kudermetova V.Wang Xin.2 : 0
    40ByeAndreeva M. (11)
    41Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    42Rakhimova K.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    43Potapova A.Birrell K. (Q/LL)1 : 2
    44ByeKostyuk M. (23)
    45Kalinskaya A. (32)Bye
    46Lamens S.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    47Tomljanovic A. (WC)Pera B. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Andreeva E. (WC)Avanesyan E.1 : 2
    51Eala A. (WC)Volynets K.2 : 0
    52ByeOstapenko J. (25)
    53Tauson C. (20)Bye
    54Grant T. C. (WC)Grabher J.0 : 2
    55Osorio C.Mboko V. (WC)1 : 2
    56ByeBadosa P. (10)
    57Muchova K. (15)Bye
    58Kalinina A.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    59Yastremska D.Bencic B.1 : 2
    60ByeSvitolina E. (22)
    61Mertens E. (27)Bye
    62Boulter K.Stearns P.0 : 2
    63Garcia C.Bondar A. (Q)2 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tomova V.2 : 0
    2Ruse G.Frech M. (29)2 : 0
    3Vekic D. (21)Masarova R.0 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Collins D. (14)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (9)Davis L.2 : 0
    6Townsend T.Putintseva Y. (19)2 : 1
    7Fernandez L. (26)Parks A.2 : 0
    8Krueger A.Rybakina E. (7)2 : 1
    9Gauff C. (3)Kenin S.2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Sakkari M. (28)1 : 2
    11Alexandrova E. (18)Linette M.0 : 2
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (16)2 : 0
    13Kasatkina D. (12)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    14Osaka N.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    15Jabeur O. (31)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    16Sramkova R.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    17Navarro E. (8)Raducanu E.1 : 2
    18Kessler M.Noskova L. (30)2 : 1
    19Anisimova A. (17)Sherif M.2 : 0
    20Kudermetova V.Andreeva M. (11)0 : 2
    21Shnaider D. (13)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    22Birrell K.Kostyuk M. (23)1 : 2
    23Kalinskaya A. (32)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    24Pera B.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    26Eala A.Ostapenko J. (25)2 : 0
    27Tauson C. (20)Grabher J.2 : 0
    28Mboko V.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (15)Azarenka V. (RET.)1 : 0
    30Bencic B.Svitolina E. (22)0 : 2
    31Mertens E. (27)Stearns P.2 : 0
    32Garcia C.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ruse G. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Masarova R.Collins D. (14)1 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (9)Townsend T.2 : 0
    4Fernandez L. (26)Krueger A.0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sakkari M. (28)2 : 0
    6Linette M.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Baptiste H.Osaka N.1 : 2
    8Jabeur O. (RET.) (31)Paolini J. (6)0 : 0
    9Raducanu E.Kessler M. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Anisimova A. (17)Andreeva M. (11)2 : 1
    11Blinkova A.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    12Kalinskaya A. (32)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (5)Eala A.0 : 2
    14Tauson C. (20)Badosa P. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (15)Svitolina E. (22)1 : 2
    16Mertens E. (27)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Collins D. (14)2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (9)Krueger A.2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (3)Linette M.0 : 2
    4Osaka N.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    5Raducanu E.Anisimova A. (17)2 : 0
    6Kostyuk M. (23)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Eala A. (WO.)Badosa P. (10)
    8Svitolina E. (22)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (9)2 : 0
    2Linette M.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    3Raducanu E.Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Eala A.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    2Pegula J. (4)Eala A.2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 0