Paula Badosa vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Beijing Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula
Result
2:0
30/09/2024 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
38%61%
1st Serve Points Won
95% (18/19)44% (11/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (15/31)38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)0% (0/5)
1st Return Points Won
56% (14/25)5% (1/19)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (10/16)52% (16/31)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)50% (1/2)
Max Points In Row
87
Service Points Won
66% (33/50)41% (17/41)
Return Points Won
59% (24/41)34% (17/50)
Total Points Won
63% (57/91)37% (34/91)
Max Games In Row
83
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Paula Badosa
39.3%
Jessica Pegula
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paula Badosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.19)

    1.58
    (1.67)
    4.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Badosa is ranked WTA: 19. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa 2:1
    07.04.2023 Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa 2:0
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Yuan Y. (WC)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    3Li A.Osorio C.1 : 2
    4ByeKalinskaya A. (28)
    5Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    6Boisson L.Galfi D. (Q)2 : 1
    7Sramkova R.Ruse G.0 : 2
    8ByeNavarro E. (16)
    9Osaka N. (12)Bye
    10Sasnovich A. (Q)Tjen J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Frech M.Seidel E. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeKostyuk M. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (30)Bye
    14Vekic D.Bucsa C. (Q)0 : 2
    15Tomljanovic A.Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    16ByePegula J. (5)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Uchijima M. (Q)Zhu L. (WC)0 : 2
    19Bouzas Maneiro J.Cristian J.2 : 0
    20ByeYastremska D. (29)
    21Shnaider D. (17)Bye
    22Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    23Kartal S.Parks A.2 : 0
    24ByeKasatkina D. (14)
    25Tauson C. (10)Bye
    26Sonmez Z.Wei S. (WC)2 : 0
    27Siniakova K.Potapova A.0 : 2
    28ByeMboko V. (21)
    29Noskova L. (26)Bye
    30Guo H. (WC)Wang Xiy. (WC)0 : 2
    31Lamens S.Arango E. (LL)0 : 2
    32ByeZheng Q. (7)
    33Paolini J. (6)Bye
    34Sevastova A.Birrell K.2 : 0
    35Kudermetova P.Inglis M. (Q)2 : 0
    36ByeKenin S. (27)
    37Kudermetova V. (24)Bye
    38Bondar A. (Q)Andreescu B.2 : 0
    39Maria T.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    40ByeLinette M. (33)
    41Muchova K. (13)Bye
    42Dolehide C.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Jacquemot E. (Q)Ruzic A.0 : 2
    44ByeBadosa P. (18)
    45Wang Xin. (31)Bye
    46Zakharova A. (Q)Zhang S. (WC)1 : 2
    47Boulter K.Baptiste H.2 : 1
    48ByeAnisimova A. (3)
    49Rybakina E. (8)Bye
    50Siegemund L.McNally C.0 : 2
    51Zhang R. (WC)Lys E.0 : 2
    52ByeJovic I. (32)
    53Mertens E. (20)Bye
    54Kessler M.Shi H. (WC)2 : 0
    55Krejcikova B.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    56ByeAlexandrova E. (9)
    57Bencic B. (15)Bye
    58Volynets K. (Q)Stearns P.2 : 1
    59Hon P. (Q)Golubic V.2 : 1
    60ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    61Fernandez L. (25)Bye
    62Krueger A.Sakkari M.1 : 2
    63Bronzetti L.Rakhimova K.0 : 2
    64ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Yuan Y.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Kalinskaya A. (28)2 : 1
    3Samsonova L. (19)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Ruse G.Navarro E. (16)0 : 2
    5Osaka N. (12)Sasnovich A.1 : 2
    6Seidel E.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    7Raducanu E. (30)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    8Tomljanovic A.Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (4)Zhu L.2 : 0
    10Bouzas Maneiro J.Yastremska D. (29)2 : 0
    11Shnaider D. (17)Joint M.0 : 2
    12Kartal S.Kasatkina D. (14)2 : 0
    13Tauson C. (10)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    14Potapova A.Mboko V. (21)2 : 0
    15Noskova L. (26)Wang Xiy.2 : 0
    16Arango E.Zheng Q. (7)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (6)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    18Kudermetova P.Kenin S. (27)0 : 2
    19Kudermetova V. (24)Bondar A.2 : 0
    20Bouzkova M.Linette M. (33)2 : 0
    21Muchova K. (13)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    22Ruzic A.Badosa P. (18)0 : 2
    23Wang Xin. (31)Zhang S.0 : 2
    24Boulter K.Anisimova A. (3)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (8)McNally C.2 : 1
    26Lys E.Jovic I. (32)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (20)Kessler M.0 : 2
    28Krejcikova B.Alexandrova E. (9)2 : 0
    29Bencic B. (15)Volynets K.2 : 0
    30Hon P.Ostapenko J. (22)2 : 0
    31Fernandez L. (25)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    32Rakhimova K.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Boisson L. (RET.)Navarro E. (16)0 : 1
    3Sasnovich A.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    4Raducanu E. (30)Pegula J. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (4)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    6Joint M.Kartal S.0 : 2
    7Sonmez Z.Potapova A.0 : 2
    8Noskova L. (26)Zheng Q. (RET.) (7)1 : 1
    9Paolini J. (6)Kenin S. (27)2 : 0
    10Kudermetova V. (24)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    11Muchova K. (13)Badosa P. (RET.) (18)0 : 0
    12Zhang S.Anisimova A. (3)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (8)Lys E.1 : 2
    14Kessler M.Krejcikova B. (RET.)1 : 1
    15Bencic B. (15)Hon P.2 : 1
    16Fernandez L. (25)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Navarro E. (16)1 : 2
    2Kostyuk M. (23)Pegula J. (5)1 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (4)Kartal S.1 : 2
    4Potapova A.Noskova L. (26)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (6)Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    6Muchova K. (13)Anisimova A. (3)1 : 2
    7Lys E.Kessler M.2 : 1
    8Bencic B. (15)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Navarro E. (16)Pegula J. (5)
    2Kartal S.Noskova L. (26)
    3Paolini J. (6)Anisimova A. (3)1 : 2
    4Lys E.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Anisimova A. (3)Gauff C. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2