Paula Badosa vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2024 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	4
Double Faults
5	0
1st Serve Percentage
38%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
95% (18/19)	44% (11/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (15/31)	38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)	0% (0/5)
1st Return Points Won
56% (14/25)	5% (1/19)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (10/16)	52% (16/31)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)	50% (1/2)
Max Points In Row
8	7
Service Points Won
66% (33/50)	41% (17/41)
Return Points Won
59% (24/41)	34% (17/50)
Total Points Won
63% (57/91)	37% (34/91)
Max Games In Row
8	3
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)	38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)	13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)	25% (4/16)

Chances of winning

Paula Badosa
39.3%

Jessica Pegula
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paula Badosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.19)		1.58 ↓ (1.67)	4.5% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Badosa is ranked WTA: 19. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
Now both players are in good shape.
Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.66.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Jessica Pegula?

Paula Badosa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Paula Badosa?

Jessica Pegula has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

18.08.2024 Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa 2:1

07.04.2023 Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa 2:0

Latest results of Paula Badosa

28.09.2024 Paula Badosa - Rebecca Sramkova 2:0 ✺

27.09.2024 Paula Badosa - Viktoriya Tomova 2:0 ✺

03.09.2024 Paula Badosa - Emma Navarro 0:2 ✺

01.09.2024 Paula Badosa - Yafan Wang 2:0 ✺

30.08.2024 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

29.09.2024 Veronika Kudermetova - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

27.09.2024 Diane Parry - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

07.09.2024 Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2 ✺

05.09.2024 Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova 2:1 ✺

04.09.2024 Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Yuan Y. (WC)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
3	Li A.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (28)
5	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
6	Boisson L.	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 1
7	Sramkova R.	Ruse G.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Navarro E. (16)
9	Osaka N. (12)	Bye
10	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Tjen J. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Seidel E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (30)	Bye
14	Vekic D.	Bucsa C. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Tomljanovic A.	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
17	Andreeva M. (4)	Bye
18	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zhu L. (WC)	0 : 2
19	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Yastremska D. (29)
21	Shnaider D. (17)	Bye
22	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
23	Kartal S.	Parks A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Tauson C. (10)	Bye
26	Sonmez Z.	Wei S. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Siniakova K.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Mboko V. (21)
29	Noskova L. (26)	Bye
30	Guo H. (WC)	Wang Xiy. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Lamens S.	Arango E. (LL)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Zheng Q. (7)
33	Paolini J. (6)	Bye
34	Sevastova A.	Birrell K.	2 : 0
35	Kudermetova P.	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kenin S. (27)
37	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bye
38	Bondar A. (Q)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
39	Maria T.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Linette M. (33)
41	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
42	Dolehide C.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Jacquemot E. (Q)	Ruzic A.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Badosa P. (18)
45	Wang Xin. (31)	Bye
46	Zakharova A. (Q)	Zhang S. (WC)	1 : 2
47	Boulter K.	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Anisimova A. (3)
49	Rybakina E. (8)	Bye
50	Siegemund L.	McNally C.	0 : 2
51	Zhang R. (WC)	Lys E.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Jovic I. (32)
53	Mertens E. (20)	Bye
54	Kessler M.	Shi H. (WC)	2 : 0
55	Krejcikova B.	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Alexandrova E. (9)
57	Bencic B. (15)	Bye
58	Volynets K. (Q)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
59	Hon P. (Q)	Golubic V.	2 : 1
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (22)
61	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
62	Krueger A.	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
63	Bronzetti L.	Rakhimova K.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 1
3	Samsonova L. (19)	Boisson L.	0 : 2
4	Ruse G.	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Osaka N. (12)	Sasnovich A.	1 : 2
6	Seidel E.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (30)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
8	Tomljanovic A.	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (4)	Zhu L.	2 : 0
10	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Yastremska D. (29)	2 : 0
11	Shnaider D. (17)	Joint M.	0 : 2
12	Kartal S.	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
13	Tauson C. (10)	Sonmez Z.	1 : 2
14	Potapova A.	Mboko V. (21)	2 : 0
15	Noskova L. (26)	Wang Xiy.	2 : 0
16	Arango E.	Zheng Q. (7)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (6)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
18	Kudermetova P.	Kenin S. (27)	0 : 2
19	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
20	Bouzkova M.	Linette M. (33)	2 : 0
21	Muchova K. (13)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
22	Ruzic A.	Badosa P. (18)	0 : 2
23	Wang Xin. (31)	Zhang S.	0 : 2
24	Boulter K.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (8)	McNally C.	2 : 1
26	Lys E.	Jovic I. (32)	2 : 1
27	Mertens E. (20)	Kessler M.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Alexandrova E. (9)	2 : 0
29	Bencic B. (15)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Hon P.	Ostapenko J. (22)	2 : 0
31	Fernandez L. (25)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
32	Rakhimova K.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Osorio C. (RET.)	1 : 0
2	Boisson L. (RET.)	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 1
3	Sasnovich A.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
4	Raducanu E. (30)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (4)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
6	Joint M.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
7	Sonmez Z.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
8	Noskova L. (26)	Zheng Q. (RET.) (7)	1 : 1
9	Paolini J. (6)	Kenin S. (27)	2 : 0
10	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
11	Muchova K. (13)	Badosa P. (RET.) (18)	0 : 0
12	Zhang S.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (8)	Lys E.	1 : 2
14	Kessler M.	Krejcikova B. (RET.)	1 : 1
15	Bencic B. (15)	Hon P.	2 : 1
16	Fernandez L. (25)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Navarro E. (16)	1 : 2
2	Kostyuk M. (23)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (4)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
4	Potapova A.	Noskova L. (26)	0 : 2
5	Paolini J. (6)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
6	Muchova K. (13)	Anisimova A. (3)	1 : 2
7	Lys E.	Kessler M.	2 : 1
8	Bencic B. (15)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Navarro E. (16)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
2	Kartal S.	Noskova L. (26)	0 : 2
3	Paolini J. (6)	Anisimova A. (3)	1 : 2
4	Lys E.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Pegula J. (5)	Noskova L. (26)	1 : 2
2	Anisimova A. (3)	Gauff C. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Noskova L. (26)

Anisimova A. (3)

1 : 2