Mornar Bar vs Jezero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Montenegrin First League Mornar Bar - Jezero
Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1325
Shots on target
918
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
60
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1325
Shots on target
918
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Denkovic S. ,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Martinovic I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 🟥,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Rolovic O. (Pen),
  • 83', 2 - 2, Rolovic O. ,
  • 86', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mornar Bar
50.6%
Draw
26.9%
Jezero
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 27% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.
  • Jezero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jezero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mornar Bar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jezero than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jezero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mornar Bar - Jezero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.19)
    3.6
    (3.4)
    4.31
    (3.05)
    3.2%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 3.
    • In recent matches, Mornar Bar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jezero is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mornar Bar might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mornar Bar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mornar Bar - Jezero were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Mornar Bar - Jezero 0:1
    22.02.2025 Jezero - Mornar Bar 1:2
    06.10.2024 Mornar Bar - Jezero 2:0
    18.09.2024 Jezero - Mornar Bar 2:2
    25.05.2024 Mornar Bar - Jezero 1:0
    Latest results of Mornar Bar
    Latest results of Jezero
    13.09.2025 Jezero - Dečić Tuzi 4:0
    30.08.2025 Arsenal Tivat - Jezero 2:2
    24.08.2025 Jezero - Sutjeska 2:1
    Montenegrin First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sutjeska1052317:10717
    2Decic1052314:16-217
    3Petrovac1036114:8615
    4Jezero1035217:13414
    5Arsenal Tivat1035210:10014
    6Buducnost1034311:10113
    7Mornar Bar1034313:15-213
    8Jedinstvo103439:12-313
    9Mladost DG1031617:20-310
    10Bokelj1013612:20-86

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation