Jia-Jing Lu vs Mei Yamaguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/10/2024 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
72
1st Serve Percentage
55%72%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (26/44)67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (15/36)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)41% (18/44)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
51% (40/79)65% (47/72)
Return Points Won
35% (25/72)49% (39/79)
Total Points Won
43% (65/151)57% (86/151)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Jia-Jing Lu
53.3%
Mei Yamaguchi
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jia-Jing Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jia-Jing Lu's form might have worsened.
  • Mei Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mei Yamaguchi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jia-Jing Lu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mei Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mei Yamaguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jia-Jing Lu - Mei Yamaguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.57)

    2
    (2.29)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lu is ranked WTA: 253. Yamaguchi is ranked WTA: 410.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Yamaguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jia-Jing Lu
    Latest results of Mei Yamaguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (1)Sasnovich A.2 : 0
    2Inglis M. (Q)Wang Y.1 : 2
    3Bucsa C.Ma Y. (Q)2 : 0
    4Uchijima M.Arango E. (8)1 : 2
    5Kenin S. (4)Sakatsume H. (Q)0 : 2
    6Chong E. (WC)Lamens S.2 : 0
    7Wong Hong Yi C. (WC)Morvayova V. (Q)0 : 2
    8Sevastova A.Joint M. (5)1 : 2
    9Kalinskaya A. (6)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    10Erjavec V.Zhang S.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Boulter K. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Gibson T.Mboko V. (3)1 : 2
    13Cirstea S. (7)Galfi D.2 : 0
    14Kobori M. (Q)Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    15Sidorova K. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    16Wang Xiy.Fernandez L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (1)Wang Y.2 : 0
    2Bucsa C.Arango E. (8)2 : 0
    3Sakatsume H.Chong E.2 : 0
    4Morvayova V.Joint M. (5)0 : 2
    5Kalinskaya A. (6)Zhang S.2 : 0
    6Eala A.Mboko V. (3)1 : 2
    7Cirstea S. (7)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    8Lys E.Fernandez L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (1)Bucsa C. (WO.)
    2Sakatsume H.Joint M. (5)1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.) (6)Mboko V. (3)0 : 1
    4Cirstea S. (7)Fernandez L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bucsa C.Joint M. (5)2 : 0
    2Mboko V. (3)Fernandez L. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Mboko V. (3)1 : 2