Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 3.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (195/264) | 86% (456/528) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 3.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (195/264) | 86% (456/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 68% (113/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.49 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Jiang L. ⚽, Wang Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
- 46', Wang Haisheng ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
- 46', Jiang L. ↓, Cui Shengcheng ↑,
- 57', Wang Z. ↓, Sun W. ↑,
- 63', Zhou Y. ↓, Huang W. ↑,
- 63', Xiong J. ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
- 64', Song Yi ↓, Liu G. ↑,
- 73', Abdusalam S. ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
- 75', Huang Jiale ↓, Zhang Jinliang ↑,
- 80', Yang B. ↓, Zhong Minghzi ↑,
- 86', Pan Yuchen ↓, Xu Lei ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Sun Yue (Pen),
Chances of winning
Hubei Istar
20.6% | Draw
26.7% | Jiangxi Lushan
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.45 ↓
(5.2) |
3.42 ↑
(3.4) |
1.74 ↑
(1.7) |
9.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jiangxi Lushan will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
- Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
- Hubei Istar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jiangxi Lushan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Hubei Istar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Jiangxi Lushan?
Hubei Istar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jiangxi Lushan won against Hubei Istar?
Jiangxi Lushan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
14.05.2025
Jiangxi Lushan
-
Hubei Istar
2:4
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 73 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou ✔ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 40:17 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 55 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 44:25 | 19 | 48 |
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 41 |
Promotion ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One
Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for League One
