Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.750.35
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
122
Passes
72% (282/392)48% (87/182)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.750.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.81
Total shots
154
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
61
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
92
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
269
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1810
Passes
72% (282/392)48% (87/182)
Long passes
48% (32/66)28% (20/72)
Passes in final third
61% (98/161)40% (27/68)
Crosses
26% (9/34)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.70
Throw ins
3825
Fouls
1018
Tackles
80% (8/10)94% (16/17)
Duels won
3336
Clearances
1753
Interceptions
315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.810.76
Goals prevented
-0.190.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Guo Yi , Zhang Chengji (A),
  • 31', Hongxiang S. 🟨,
  • 40', Zhang G. , Abdusalam S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Liu G. , Zhou Jingxiang ,
  • 46', Shi Jiwei , Bai Zijian ,
  • 56', Zhang Chengji , Pan Jinglue ,
  • 56', Guo Yi , Li B. ,
  • 62', Pi Ziyang , Li Chenguang ,
  • 72', Guo Song , Li Jiahao ,
  • 74', Chen Jiaqi , Yu Jingcheng ,
  • 75', Yang B. , Liu Mingyu ,
  • 84', Wen Jialong , Huang W. ,
  • 90+1', Zhou Jingxiang 🟨,
  • 90+8', Huang W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jiangxi Lushan
45.1%
Draw
30%
Hubei Istar
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 29.5% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 30.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.07)
    3.01
    (3.07)
    3.64
    (3.38)
    10.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).
    • Jiangxi Lushan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hubei Istar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Hubei Istar has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan 1:1
    14.05.2025 Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar 2:4
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )