Jiaqi Wang vs Ying Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jingshan Challenger Women Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang
Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
213
Double Faults
08
1st Serve Percentage
86%61%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (54/80)70% (61/87)
2nd Serve Points Won
23% (3/13)38% (21/55)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)75% (12/16)
1st Return Points Won
30% (26/87)33% (26/80)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (34/55)77% (10/13)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
61% (57/93)57% (80/140)
Return Points Won
43% (60/140)39% (36/93)
Total Points Won
50% (117/233)50% (116/233)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Jiaqi Wang
52.6%
Ying Zhang
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jiaqi Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiaqi Wang's performance.
  • Ying Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ying Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiaqi Wang than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiaqi Wang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ying Zhang than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ying Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.5)

    2.41
    (1.5)
    -5.4%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked WTA: 599. Zhang is ranked WTA: 423.
    • In recent matches, Wang has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zhang is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zhang might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Zhang will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang Wang J. retired
    Latest results of Jiaqi Wang
    12.09.2025 Hanyu Guo - Jiaqi Wang 2:0
    11.09.2025 Jiaqi Wang - Yufei Ren 2:0
    10.09.2025 Jiaqi Wang - Xi Luo 2:0
    Latest results of Ying Zhang
    10.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Fangran Tian Zhang Y. retired
    01.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva Zhang Y. retired
    14.08.2025 Mio Mushika - Ying Zhang 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Falei A.2 : 0
    2Yamaguchi M.Wong Hong Yi C.2 : 0
    3Reyngold E. (Q)Lu J.1 : 2
    4Bhatia R. (Q)Gao X. (5)2 : 1
    5Sun L. (3)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    6Wu R. X. (WC)Wang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    7You X.Pieri J. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Pridankina E.Hontama M. (6)2 : 1
    9Hartono A. (7)Ma L. (Q)1 : 2
    10Saigo R.Tian F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Inoue H.Yang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12Ma Y.Burrage J. (4)2 : 0
    13Okamura K. (8)Zheng W.2 : 0
    14Monnet C.Liang E. S.1 : 2
    15Thandi K. K.Kulikova A.0 : 2
    16Wang M. (WC)Gibson T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Yamaguchi M.2 : 0
    2Lu J.Bhatia R.2 : 0
    3Sun L. (3)Wu R. X.2 : 0
    4You X.Pridankina E.0 : 2
    5Ma L.Saigo R.1 : 2
    6Inoue H.Ma Y.0 : 2
    7Okamura K. (8)Liang E. S.0 : 2
    8Kulikova A.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Lu J.2 : 0
    2Sun L. (3)Pridankina E.2 : 0
    3Saigo R.Ma Y.0 : 2
    4Liang E. S.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Sun L. (3)1 : 2
    2Ma Y.Gibson T. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Sun L. (3)Ma Y.2 : 0