Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
60%65%
1st serve points won
68% (27/40)72% (31/43)
2nd serve points won
44% (12/27)61% (14/23)
Break Points Saved
4/72/3
1st return points won
28% (12/43)35% (14/40)
2nd return points won
39% (9/23)56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
1/33/7
Winners
2228
Unforced errors
2825
Net points won
73% (8/11)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
57% (39/68)68% (45/66)
Return Points Won
32% (21/66)43% (29/68)
Total Points Won
45% (60/134)55% (74/134)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
73% (8/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)27% (3/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
34.5%
Joao Fonseca
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.
  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.06)

    1.47
    (1.68)
    4.9%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fonseca will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 50%). Fonseca (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Fonseca (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fonseca (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 39. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 40.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fonseca could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
    11.02.2026 Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2
    19.04.2024 Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.2 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)2 : 1
    5Shapovalov D.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (4)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Fonseca J.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cobolli F. (4)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (4)Shelton B. (2)0 : 2