Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca
27/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
46.5%
Joao Fonseca
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 59.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.19)

    1.77
    (1.63)
    5.1%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. retired
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    24.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. retired
    21.10.2025 Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov Canceled
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    25.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar 2:0
    24.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. retired
    22.10.2025 Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca Fonseca J. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Brooksby J. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    2Blanchet U. (WC)Quinn E. (12)0 : 2
    3Korda S. (2)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    4Herbert P. (WC)Royer V. (10)0 : 2
    5Mannarino A. (3)Hanfmann Y. (Alt)0 : 2
    6Fearnley J.Arnaldi M. (13)2 : 0
    7Etcheverry T. M. (4)Martinez P.2 : 0
    8De Jong J.Majchrzak K. (11)2 : 1
    9Opelka R. (5)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    10Vukic A.Walton A. (14)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (6)Halys Q.2 : 1
    12Jacquet K. (WC)Kovacevic A. (8)1 : 2
    13Comesana F. (7)van Assche L. (WC)2 : 0
    14Goffin D.Medjedovic H. (9)2 : 0

    Final
    1Van De Zandschulp B.Quinn E. (12)0 : 2
    2Korda S. (2)Royer V. (10)2 : 1
    3Hanfmann Y.Fearnley J.0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M. (4)De Jong J.
    5Opelka R. (5)Vukic A. (WO.)
    6Dzumhur D. (6)Kovacevic A. (8)2 : 1
    7Comesana F. (7)Goffin D. (RET.)1 : 0