Result
1:2
28/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (33/46) | 77% (53/69) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 44% (12/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (16/69) | 28% (13/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 53% (21/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 68% (65/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (31/96) | 40% (34/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (83/182) | 54% (99/182) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 55% (17/31) |
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov
41.4% | Joao Fonseca
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.19) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.63) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Fonseca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joao Fonseca will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.
- Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fonseca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Fonseca will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Joao Fonseca?
Denis Shapovalov has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Denis Shapovalov?
Joao Fonseca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
24.10.2025
Joao Fonseca
-
Denis Shapovalov
Shapovalov D. retired
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Norrie C. | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (WC) | Lehecka J. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Muller A. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Altmaier D. | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Ruud C. (8) | |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vukic A. (Q) | Atmane T. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Moutet C. | Opelka R. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Popyrin A. | Bublik A. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Khachanov K. (10) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. | Diallo G. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 17 | Musetti L. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Sonego L. | Korda S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Dimitrov G. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Davidovich Fokina A. (15) | Royer V. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Darderi L. | Cazaux A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Etcheverry T. M. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Shelton B. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cobolli F. | Machac T. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Fearnley J. (Q) | Rublev A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. | Dzumhur D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Kovacevic A. (LL) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Michelsen A. | Bergs Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Altmaier D. | Ruud C. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Moutet C. | Bublik A. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Khachanov K. (10) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Diallo G. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (7) | Sonego L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Dimitrov G. | Medvedev D. (WO.) (11) | |
| 11 | Davidovich Fokina A. (15) | Cazaux A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (5) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bergs Z. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Norrie C. | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (4) | Bublik A. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Khachanov K. (10) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sonego L. | Medvedev D. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Davidovich Fokina A. (15) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shelton B. (5) | Rublev A. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cerundolo F. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Vacherot V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (13) | De Minaur A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (11) | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shelton B. (5) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | Bublik A. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
