Result
2:1
13/03/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (43/59) | 59% (30/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 51% (19/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 67% (10/15) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 27% (16/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 56% (15/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 29% (2/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (55/86) | 56% (49/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (39/88) | 36% (31/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (94/174) | 46% (80/174) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 38% (10/26) |
Chances of winning
Joao Fonseca
71.2% | Jan-Lennard Struff
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan-Lennard Struff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan-Lennard Struff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.55) |
|
3.24 ↑
(2.3) |
6.6%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80. Struff is ranked ATP: 46.
- Recent matches Fonseca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Struff is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Jan-Lennard Struff?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan-Lennard Struff won against Joao Fonseca?
Jan-Lennard Struff has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff were as follows:
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fearnley J. | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (WC) | Shevchenko A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Eubanks C. (Alt) | Safiullin R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Hijikata R. | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Vukic A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rinderknech A. (8) | Opelka R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kotov P. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Struff J-L. (4) | |
| 13 | Nardi L. (6) | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Kukushkin M. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tu L. (Q) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Safiullin R. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (3) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hijikata R. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Opelka R. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nishikori K. | Kukushkin M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Spizzirri E. | Cobolli F. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishikori K. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fonseca J. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Bublik A. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
