Result
2:0
15/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (25/33) | 54% (19/35) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 24% (8/33) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 29% (5/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (37/50) | 55% (32/58) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 26% (13/50) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (63/108) | 42% (45/108) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Joao Fonseca
69.6% | Kei Nishikori
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kei Nishikori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kei Nishikori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.48) |
|
3.1 ↑
(2.5) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Nishikori will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 76.
- Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
- Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Kei Nishikori?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kei Nishikori won against Joao Fonseca?
Kei Nishikori has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori were as follows:
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Latest results of Kei Nishikori
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fearnley J. | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (WC) | Shevchenko A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Eubanks C. (Alt) | Safiullin R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Hijikata R. | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Vukic A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rinderknech A. (8) | Opelka R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kotov P. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Struff J-L. (4) | |
| 13 | Nardi L. (6) | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Kukushkin M. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tu L. (Q) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Safiullin R. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (3) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hijikata R. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Opelka R. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nishikori K. | Kukushkin M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Spizzirri E. | Cobolli F. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishikori K. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fonseca J. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Bublik A. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
