Joao Fonseca vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
10	10
Double Faults
3	3
1st Serve Percentage
64%	62%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (45/63)	70% (47/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (23/36)	54% (22/41)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
30% (20/67)	29% (18/63)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (19/41)	36% (13/36)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)	25% (1/4)
Winners
43	31
Unforced Errors
40	35
Net Points Won
68% (19/28)	69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
69% (68/99)	64% (69/108)
Return Points Won
36% (39/108)	31% (31/99)
Total Points Won
52% (107/207)	48% (100/207)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)	80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)	6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
58% (18/31)	42% (13/31)

Chances of winning

Joao Fonseca
71.3%

Learner Tien
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)		3.29 ↑ (2.75)	5.3% (5.1%)

What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tien will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35% – 88%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 60. Tien is ranked ATP: 66.
Fonseca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Tien is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fonseca is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Fonseca to win the game is with odds 1.36.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fonseca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Learner Tien?

Joao Fonseca has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Learner Tien won against Joao Fonseca?

Learner Tien has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien were as follows:

22.12.2024 Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien 3:1

19.12.2024 Learner Tien - Joao Fonseca 1:3

09.09.2023 Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien 2:1

08.06.2023 Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien 1:2

Latest results of Joao Fonseca

15.03.2025 Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori 2:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca 0:2 ✺

13.03.2025 Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff 2:1 ✺

12.03.2025 Pavel Kotov - Joao Fonseca 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Learner Tien

07.03.2025 Mariano Navone - Learner Tien 2:0 ✺

27.02.2025 Learner Tien - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien 0:2 ✺

24.02.2025 Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Learner Tien - Dusan Lajovic 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
3	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Korda S. (32)
5	Darderi L. (17)	Bye
6	Giron M.	Landaluce M. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Duckworth J.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (14)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Quinn E.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 0
11	Kouame M. (WC)	Svajda Z. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Lehecka J. (21)
13	Draper J. (25)	Bye
14	Opelka R.	Borges N.	2 : 1
15	Shapovalov D.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (6)
17	Vukic A. (LL)	Bye
18	Jodar R. (Q)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Bergs Z.	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
21	Paul T. (22)	Bye
22	Zhang Z. (PR)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
23	Collignon R.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (13)
25	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
27	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Navone M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vacherot V. (24)
29	Fils A. (28)	Bye
30	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
31	Tsitsipas S.	Fery A. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
33	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
35	Diallo G.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Humbert U. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (18)	Bye
38	Royer V.	Tirante T. A. (LL)	1 : 2
39	Kovacevic A.	Sakamoto R. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (9)
41	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Draxl L. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Majchrzak K.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Tien L. (20)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Cilic M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
47	Damm M. (WC)	Fearnley J. (RET.)	1 : 0
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Bye
50	O'Connell C. (Q)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
51	Atmane T.	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
53	Tiafoe F. (19)	Bye
54	Cazaux A.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Walton A. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Rublev A. (15)	Bye
58	Tabilo A.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
59	Michelsen A.	Bellucci M. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Norrie C. (23)
61	Moutet C. (30)	Bye
62	Nava E.	Machac T.	1 : 2
63	Buse I. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
2	Ugo Carabelli C.	Korda S. (32)	0 : 2
3	Darderi L. (17)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (14)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Quinn E.	0 : 2
6	Kouame M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
7	Draper J. (25)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	Fritz T. (6)	1 : 2
9	Vukic A.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (22)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
12	Collignon R.	Cobolli F. (13)	2 : 0
13	Bublik A. (10)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
14	Navone M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (28)	Blanch Dar.	2 : 0
16	Tsitsipas S.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 0
17	Shelton B. (8)	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
18	Diallo G.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (18)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
20	Sakamoto R.	Medvedev D. (9)	1 : 2
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
22	Majchrzak K.	Tien L. (20)	2 : 1
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Cilic M.	1 : 2
24	Damm M.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Fucsovics M.	2 : 0
26	Atmane T.	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 0
27	Tiafoe F. (19)	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
28	Walton A.	Mensik J. (12)	1 : 2
29	Rublev A. (15)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
30	Michelsen A.	Norrie C. (23)	2 : 1
31	Moutet C. (30)	Machac T.	2 : 1
32	Dzumhur D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Korda S. (32)	1 : 2
2	Landaluce M.	Khachanov K. (14)	2 : 0
3	Quinn E.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
4	Opelka R.	Fritz T. (6)	0 : 2
5	Jodar R.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
6	Paul T. (22)	Collignon R.	2 : 1
7	Berrettini M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
8	Fils A. (28)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
9	Shevchenko A.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
10	Cerundolo F. (18)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 1
11	Halys Q.	Majchrzak K.	2 : 0
12	Cilic M.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
14	Tiafoe F. (19)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Tabilo A.	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Moutet C. (30)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (32)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J. (21)	Fritz T. (6)	2 : 1
3	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Paul T. (22)	0 : 2
4	Vacherot V. (24)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Humbert U. (31)	Cerundolo F. (18)	0 : 2
6	Halys Q.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Atmane T.	Tiafoe F. (19)	1 : 2
8	Michelsen A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Landaluce M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
2	Paul T. (22)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (18)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (19)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Lehecka J. (21)	Fils A. (28)	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Lehecka J. (21)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2