Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
60%58%
1st serve points won
79% (41/52)60% (30/50)
2nd serve points won
53% (18/34)56% (20/36)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
40% (20/50)23% (12/52)
2nd return points won
44% (16/36)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)18% (2/11)
Winners
2717
Unforced errors
4337
Net points won
33% (1/3)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
69% (59/86)58% (50/86)
Return Points Won
42% (36/86)31% (27/86)
Total Points Won
55% (95/172)45% (77/172)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)14% (2/14)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
64.9%
Matias Soto
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.
  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.61)

    2.65
    (2.19)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Reis Da Silva (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 208. Soto is ranked ATP: 316.
    • Reis Da Silva has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Soto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Reis Da Silva might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 0:2
    11.03.2025 Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto 2:0
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Schiessl J. E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Diaz Acosta F. (SE)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    4Miguel G. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Cadenasso G.2 : 1
    6Ribeiro E. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)2 : 0
    7Marcondes I. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Heide G.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 1
    9Rocha H. (5)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Jover C. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)2 : 1
    11Reis Da Silva J.Soto M.2 : 1
    12Prado Angelo J. C.Den Ouden G. (4)2 : 0
    13Guillen Meza A. (8)Damas M.0 : 2
    14Monteiro T.Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Torrealba B. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    16Boscardin Dias P.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Miguel G.2 : 0
    3Faria J. (3)Ribeiro E.0 : 2
    4Marcondes I.Heide G.1 : 2
    5Rocha H. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    7Damas M.Monteiro T.0 : 2
    8Varillas J. P.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    2Ribeiro E.Heide G.2 : 1
    3Rocha H. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Monteiro T.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Rocha H. (5)Monteiro T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Vallejo D. (1)Rocha H. (5)0 : 2