Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/01/2026 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santiago 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
49.8%
Matias Soto
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)

    1.84
    (1.83)
    8.2%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 591. Soto is ranked ATP: 389.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Mena F. (1)Krall L.2 : 0
    2Zeitune M.Farjat T.1 : 2
    3Gallego J. I.Del Pino M.1 : 2
    4Salazar A.Gima S. (5)1 : 2
    5Cuenin S. (3)Bigun K.2 : 0
    6De La Pena B.Ribero F.2 : 1
    7Becerra Otarola I. A.Rimoli E.2 : 1
    8Iamachkine P.Rubio Fierros A. F. (8)0 : 2
    9Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (6)Cigarran T.2 : 0
    10Bocchi L.Menzel Piccioli T. E.2 : 0
    11Leon Macchiavello J.Torrealba B.0 : 2
    12Villalon N.Ambrogi L. E. (4)0 : 2
    13Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)Malla B.2 : 1
    14Basel V.Pagani D.2 : 0
    15Zielinski M.Valenzuela J. (WO.)
    16Monferrer E.Soto M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Mena F. (1)Farjat T.2 : 0
    2Del Pino M.Gima S. (5)1 : 2
    3Cuenin S. (3)De La Pena B.2 : 0
    4Becerra Otarola I. A.Rubio Fierros A. F. (8)1 : 2
    5Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (6)Bocchi L.0 : 2
    6Torrealba B.Ambrogi L. E. (4)0 : 2
    7Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)Basel V.2 : 0
    8Valenzuela J.Soto M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F. (1)Gima S. (5)2 : 0
    2Cuenin S. (3)Rubio Fierros A. F. (8)2 : 0
    3Bocchi L.Ambrogi L. E. (4)0 : 2
    4Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)Soto M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mena F. (1)Cuenin S. (3)0 : 2
    2Ambrogi L. E. (4)Soto M. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cuenin S. (3)Soto M. (2)2 : 0