Joel Schwaerzler vs Christoph Negritu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bonn Challenger Men Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu
Result
2:0
05/08/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
58
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
61%56%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (33/41)86% (31/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
14% (5/36)20% (8/41)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/5)
Winners
2318
Unforced Errors
1826
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
73% (49/67)67% (43/64)
Return Points Won
33% (21/64)27% (18/67)
Total Points Won
53% (70/131)47% (61/131)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
56.6%
Christoph Negritu
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.
  • Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.84)

    2.16
    (1.84)
    7.2%
    (8.9%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Negritu will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354. Negritu is ranked ATP: 267.
    • Schwaerzler has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Negritu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rosenkranz M. (LL)Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Boscardin Dias P. (Q)Midon L.0 : 2
    3Mackenzie J. (WC)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (Alt)Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    5Gaubas V. (4)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Krumich M. (Q)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    7Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Cecchinato M. (Q)Coria F. (6)0 : 2
    9Hassan B. (8)Jianu F. C.1 : 2
    10Skatov T.Popko D.2 : 0
    11McDonald N. (WC)Milev Y. (Q)1 : 2
    12Villanueva G. (Q)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    13Choinski J. (5)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    14Reis Da Silva J.Wallin O. (SE)2 : 1
    15Kym J.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    16Fajta P. (Q)Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rosenkranz M.Midon L.0 : 2
    2Mackenzie J.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    3Gaubas V. (4)Krumich M.2 : 1
    4Schwaerzler J. J.Coria F. (6)2 : 0
    5Jianu F. C.Skatov T.0 : 2
    6Milev Y.Moller E. (3)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    8Kym J.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Midon L.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    2Gaubas V. (4)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    3Skatov T.Milev Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Reis Da Silva J.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rodionov J. (7)Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 1
    2Skatov T.Collignon R. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Rodionov J. (7)Skatov T.2 : 1