Joel Schwaerzler vs Gabriele Pennaforti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Kigali 2 Challenger Men Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti
Result
0:2
04/03/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
57%57%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (21/29)75% (21/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (9/22)81% (17/21)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
25% (7/28)28% (8/29)
2nd Return Points Won
24% (5/21)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
59% (30/51)76% (38/50)
Return Points Won
24% (12/50)41% (21/51)
Total Points Won
42% (42/101)58% (59/101)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
62.2%
Gabriele Pennaforti
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.
  • Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Pennaforti's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.38)

    2.45
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Pennaforti will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 307. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 433.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Schwaerzler will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (RET.) (1)Marti Pujolras A.0 : 1
    2Sanchez Jover C.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Neuchrist M. (WC)Tabur C.0 : 2
    4Picchione A. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (7)0 : 2
    5Royer V. (4)Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    6Agamenone F. (Q)Martin A. (WC)2 : 1
    7Schwaerzler J. J.Pennaforti G. (Q)0 : 2
    8Chazal M.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Jianu F. C. (8)Michalski D. (Q)1 : 2
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Janvier M.2 : 0
    12Pavlovic L. (Q)Taberner C. (3)2 : 0
    13Tomic B. (6)Ionel N. D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Den Ouden G. (Alt)Misolic F.2 : 0
    15Coulibaly E. (Alt)Denolly C.0 : 2
    16Erel Y. (Q)Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marti Pujolras A.Houkes M.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    3Royer V. (4)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Pennaforti G.Neumayer L. (5)2 : 0
    5Michalski D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Erhard M.Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    7Ionel N. D.Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    8Denolly C.Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Houkes M.Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Royer V. (4)Pennaforti G.2 : 0
    3Cecchinato M.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Den Ouden G.Hemery C. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Houkes M.Royer V. (4)0 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Den Ouden G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Royer V. (4)Den Ouden G.2 : 0