Joel Schwaerzler vs Gonzalo Bueno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Vicenza Challenger Men Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno
Result
2:1
28/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
62%74%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (40/64)63% (45/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)40% (10/25)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
37% (26/71)38% (24/64)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (15/25)49% (19/39)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)33% (4/12)
Winners
3236
Unforced Errors
3828
Net Points Won
56% (10/18)83% (10/12)
Service Points Won
58% (60/103)57% (55/96)
Return Points Won
43% (41/96)42% (43/103)
Total Points Won
51% (101/199)49% (98/199)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
48.9%
Gonzalo Bueno
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.
  • Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Bueno's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Bueno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.55)

    1.82
    (2.27)
    7.1%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bueno will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 486. Bueno is ranked ATP: 328.
    • Schwaerzler is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bueno has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno were as follows:
    19.05.2025 Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno 2:0
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Latest results of Gonzalo Bueno
    26.05.2025 Borna Gojo - Gonzalo Bueno 1:2
    25.05.2025 Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Bueno Napolitano S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    2Jianu F. C.Bondioli F. (Q)0 : 2
    3Schwaerzler J. J. (Q)Bueno G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Cecchinato M. (Q)Holmgren A. (8)2 : 0
    5Rodesch C. (3)Erhard M. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Klizan M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Mena F.Kovalik J.2 : 1
    8Hsu Y. H.Arnaboldi F. (7)2 : 0
    9Neumayer L. (6)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    10Onclin G.Skatov T.0 : 2
    11Pavlovic L.Castagnola L. (WC)1 : 2
    12Moro Canas A.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    13Ajdukovic D. (5)Roca Batalla O. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Durasovic V. (Alt)Vallejo D.1 : 2
    15Maestrelli F. (WC)Carboni L. (WC)0 : 2
    16Shelbayh A. (RET.) (Alt)Kym J. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    3Rodesch C. (3)Klizan M.2 : 0
    4Mena F.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0
    5Neumayer L. (6)Skatov T.2 : 1
    6Castagnola L.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Ajdukovic D. (5)Vallejo D.2 : 0
    8Carboni L.Kym J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    2Rodesch C. (3)Mena F.2 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (6)Buse I. (4)2 : 1
    4Ajdukovic D. (5)Kym J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Rodesch C. (3)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L. (WO.) (6)Kym J. (2)

    Final
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Neumayer L. (6)2 : 0