Joel Schwaerzler vs Marat Sharipov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sofia 2 Challenger Men Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov
Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
52%55%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (16/23)59% (17/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (12/21)21% (5/24)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)33% (3/9)
1st Return Points Won
45% (13/29)30% (7/23)
2nd Return Points Won
79% (19/24)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)50% (2/4)
Winners
1112
Unforced Errors
1431
Net Points Won
50% (1/2)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
64% (28/44)42% (22/52)
Return Points Won
58% (30/52)36% (16/44)
Total Points Won
60% (58/96)40% (38/96)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
60.6%
Marat Sharipov
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.
  • Marat Sharipov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marat Sharipov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marat Sharipov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.74)

    2.39
    (1.96)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sharipov (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 313. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 276.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sharipov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Schwaerzler might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schwaerzler won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Marat Sharipov - Joel Schwaerzler 1:2
    21.05.2025 Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov 2:0
    Latest results of Marat Sharipov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pieczonka F. (LL)Nagal S.0 : 2
    2Serdarusic N. (Q)Nedic A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Donski A. (WC)Michalski D.2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (4)Vasilev A. (WC)0 : 2
    6Molcan A. (Q)Ivanov I. (WC)2 : 0
    7Rincon D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    8Roncadelli F. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (7)2 : 1
    9Ajdukovic D. (8)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)0 : 2
    10Honda N. (JR)Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2
    11Bondioli F. (LL)Karol M. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Midon L.Agamenone F. (Q)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (5)Pereira T.2 : 0
    14Blanch D. (Q)Brunold M.1 : 2
    15Shah A. (Alt)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    16Dellien Velasco M. A.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Nedic A.1 : 2
    2Donski A.Dodig M. (6)1 : 2
    3Vasilev A.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Cecchinato M.Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    5Schwaerzler J. J.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    6Karol M.Agamenone F.1 : 2
    7Ferreira Silva F. (5)Brunold M.2 : 0
    8Sharipov M.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nedic A.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Schwaerzler J. J.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Ferreira Silva F. (5)Sharipov M.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (6)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Sharipov M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Molcan A.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0