Result
2:0
06/03/2026 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (38/46) | 65% (31/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 56% (18/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 82% (9/11) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 17% (8/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 44% (12/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 0% (0/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (53/73) | 61% (49/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (31/80) | 27% (20/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (84/153) | 45% (69/153) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
53.8% | Marco Cecchinato
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Cecchinato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.54) |
|
2.03 ↓
(2.28) |
6.8%
(8.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Cecchinato?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joel Schwaerzler will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 214. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 225.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Schwaerzler could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Marco Cecchinato?
Joel Schwaerzler has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Cecchinato won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Marco Cecchinato has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Cecchinato were as follows:
29.05.2025
Joel Schwaerzler
-
Marco Cecchinato
2:0
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Johns G. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bax F. | Pennaforti G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cuenin S. | Kolar Z. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (4) | Kopp S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cecchinato M. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ionel N. D. (Q) | De Krom M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Pieri S. (Q) | Kym J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coulibaly E. | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Napolitano S. (Q) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Forejtek J. | Mikrut L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Clarke J. (6) | Hemery C. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Houkes M. | Nijboer R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Martin A. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Bax F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kolar Z. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kopp S. | Cecchinato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Krom M. | Kym J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Napolitano S. | Mikrut L. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Hemery C. | Nijboer R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Kym J. (RET.) (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hemery C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Napolitano S. | 2 : 0 |
