Joel Schwaerzler vs Mirza Basic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
57.5%
Mirza Basic
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.
  • Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.48)

    2.17
    (2.5)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242. Basic is ranked ATP: 497.
    • Recent performances by Schwaerzler have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Basic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Schwaerzler will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Latest results of Mirza Basic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)
    15Topo M.Huesler M.
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Skatov T. (7)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Mmoh M.
    6TBD #11Piros Z. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2