Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 10:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 76% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 97% (29/30) | 66% (31/47) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 27% (8/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (37/47) | 56% (34/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 21% (10/47) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (64/108) | 41% (44/108) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
57.6% | Mirza Basic
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.48) |
|
2.19 ↓
(2.5) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Basic will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242. Basic is ranked ATP: 497.
- Recent performances by Schwaerzler have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Basic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Schwaerzler will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Mirza Basic?
Joel Schwaerzler has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirza Basic won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Mirza Basic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic were as follows:
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Mirza Basic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Topo M. (RET.) | Huesler M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Nesterov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Skatov T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Brunclik P. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mrva M. | Mmoh M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holmgren A. (8) | Brunold M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesler M. | Glinka D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mrva M. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brunold M. | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Piros Z. (3) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Piros Z. (3) | 1 : 2 |
