Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
40.3%
Roman Safiullin
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.
  • Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)

    1.55
    (1.72)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 174. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 229.
    • Schwaerzler has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Safiullin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Safiullin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin