Result
2:0
09/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (28/38) | 78% (25/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 50% (8/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/1 | 2/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 29% (11/38) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 35% (8/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/4 | 0/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (3/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (43/61) | 68% (32/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 30% (18/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (58/108) | 46% (50/108) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
41.6% | Roman Safiullin
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.99) |
|
1.6 ↓
(1.72) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 174. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 229.
- In recent matches, Schwaerzler has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Safiullin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Safiullin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Roman Safiullin?
Joel Schwaerzler has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roman Safiullin won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Roman Safiullin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin were as follows:
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Roman Safiullin
