Result
1:2
08/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (46/64) | 72% (50/69) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 60% (15/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (19/69) | 28% (18/64) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 38% (10/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 25% (2/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 61% (11/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (62/90) | 71% (65/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (27/92) | 31% (28/90) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (89/182) | 51% (93/182) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Vilius Gaubas
61.1% | Joel Schwaerzler
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Vilius Gaubas - Joel Schwaerzler Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.43) |
|
2.41 ↓
(2.6) |
6.8%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Joel Schwaerzler?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354.
- Gaubas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Schwaerzler has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gaubas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Vilius Gaubas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Vilius Gaubas?
Joel Schwaerzler has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vilius Gaubas - Joel Schwaerzler were as follows:
30.07.2025
Joel Schwaerzler
-
Vilius Gaubas
0:2
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rosenkranz M. (LL) | Tabur C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boscardin Dias P. (Q) | Midon L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mackenzie J. (WC) | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nagal S. (Alt) | Rodionov J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gaubas V. (4) | Dedura D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Krumich M. (Q) | Zahraj P. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Coria F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Hassan B. (8) | Jianu F. C. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Skatov T. | Popko D. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | McDonald N. (WC) | Milev Y. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Villanueva G. (Q) | Moller E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Choinski J. (5) | Blancaneaux G. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Reis Da Silva J. | Wallin O. (SE) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Kym J. | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Fajta P. (Q) | Collignon R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rosenkranz M. | Midon L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mackenzie J. | Rodionov J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaubas V. (4) | Krumich M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Coria F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jianu F. C. | Skatov T. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Milev Y. | Moller E. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Blancaneaux G. | Reis Da Silva J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kym J. | Collignon R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Midon L. | Rodionov J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. (4) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Skatov T. | Milev Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Reis Da Silva J. | Collignon R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rodionov J. (7) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Skatov T. | Collignon R. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Rodionov J. (7) | Skatov T. | 2 : 1 |
