Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Piros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
910
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
59%62%
1st serve points won
82% (42/51)72% (51/71)
2nd serve points won
54% (19/35)53% (23/43)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)89% (8/9)
1st return points won
30% (21/71)25% (13/51)
2nd return points won
47% (20/43)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
11% (1/9)20% (2/10)
Winners
3437
Unforced errors
4034
Net points won
88% (15/17)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
71% (61/86)65% (74/114)
Return Points Won
35% (40/114)29% (25/86)
Total Points Won
51% (101/200)50% (99/200)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
87% (13/15)94% (15/16)
Return games won
6% (1/16)13% (2/15)
Total games won
45% (14/31)55% (17/31)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
29.8%
Zsombor Piros
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.
  • Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Zsombor Piros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.55)

    1.35
    (1.46)
    6.2%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Zsombor Piros?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Piros will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242. Piros is ranked ATP: 180.
    • Schwaerzler is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Piros is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Piros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Piros might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Piros will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Latest results of Zsombor Piros
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2