Joensuun Kataja vs Kauhajoen Karhu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:62
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Korisliiga - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7069
Field goals made
3125
Field goals %
44.29%36.23%
2-point field goals attempts
4638
2-point field goals made
2718
2-point field goals %
58.7%47.37%
3-point field goals attempts
2431
3-point field goals made
47
3-point field goals %
16.67%22.58%
Free throws attempts
1416
Free throws made
1011
Free throws %
71.4%68.8%
Offensive rebounds
1516
Defensive rebounds
2925
Total rebounds
4441
Assists
713
Blocks
41
Turnovers
912
Steals
76
Personal fouls
1716

Chances of winning


Joensuun Kataja
79.2%
Kauhajoen Karhu
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joensuun Kataja's performance.
  • Kauhajoen Karhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauhajoen Karhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-19.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joensuun Kataja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauhajoen Karhu than the current prediction. (+19.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauhajoen Karhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.65)

    4.47
    (2.01)
    7.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauhajoen Karhu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 91:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 0.
    • Joensuun Kataja is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kauhajoen Karhu is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kauhajoen Karhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Joensuun Kataja is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1568:1753. (average 78.4:87.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Joensuun Kataja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 729:791. (average 81:87.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Kauhajoen Karhu - Joensuun Kataja 106:99
    15.04.2025 Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu 87:99
    12.04.2025 Kauhajoen Karhu - Joensuun Kataja 87:79
    09.04.2025 Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu 82:96
    05.04.2025 Kauhajoen Karhu - Joensuun Kataja 93:79
    Latest results of Joensuun Kataja
    Latest results of Kauhajoen Karhu
    Finnish Korisliiga Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Salon Vilpas282082601:232740
    2Karhu Basket281992328:229338
    3Honka2817112535:253434
    4KTP Kotka Basket2816122379:228132
    5UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki2816122540:246532
    6Helsinki Seagulls2814142391:231728

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