John Sperle vs Stefan Popovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
55%66%
1st serve points won
73% (32/44)66% (37/56)
2nd serve points won
53% (19/36)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
2/62/5
1st return points won
34% (19/56)32% (14/44)
2nd return points won
62% (18/29)47% (17/36)
Break Points Converted
3/54/6
Winners
2233
Unforced errors
3443
Net points won
60% (9/15)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
63% (50/79)56% (48/85)
Return Points Won
44% (37/85)37% (29/79)
Total Points Won
53% (87/164)47% (77/164)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)29% (4/14)
Total games won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


John Sperle
56.1%
Stefan Popovic
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in John Sperle's performance.
  • Stefan Popovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefan Popovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Popovic than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Popovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • John Sperle - Stefan Popovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (2.02)

    2.12
    (1.72)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for John Sperle - Stefan Popovic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Stefan Popovic will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefan Popovic will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sperle is ranked ATP: 824. Popovic is ranked ATP: 555.
    • Sperle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Popovic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of John Sperle
    Latest results of Stefan Popovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0