Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.04
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
75% (232/309)79% (349/439)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.552.21
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1718
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
75% (232/309)79% (349/439)
Long passes
37% (19/51)34% (21/61)
Passes in final third
53% (42/80)57% (65/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.60
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (8/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
3023
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.211.55
Goals prevented
1.21-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Antonio Cristian ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Mueanta S. , Zulj R. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Zulj R. , Mueanta S. (A),
  • 58', Stojkovic F. 🟨,
  • 59', Israfilov E. , Parra R. ,
  • 60', Stojkovic F. , Walsh S. ,
  • 74', Mueanta S. , Mulic F. ,
  • 74', Bissoli , Jaided S. ,
  • 74', Jairo , Bergson ,
  • 82', Walsh S. 🟨,
  • 83', Silva J. , Arribas O. ,
  • 83', Hevel H. , Fazail A. ,
  • 84', Irazabal J. , Lowry S. ,
  • 88', Arribas O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Zulj R. , Sukjitthammakul P. ,
  • 90+3', Causic G. , Bauer R. ,
  • 90+4', Zulj P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mw7n8nrj

Official Live

Chances of winning


Buriram United
35.4%
Draw
27.3%
Johor Darul Takzim
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 25% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 26.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.
  • Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Johor Darul Takzim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johor Darul Takzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.2)
    3.41
    (3.8)
    2.5
    (2.99)
    7.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Johor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Johor (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Buriram won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United 0:1
    04.03.2025 Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim 0:0
    03.12.2024 Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United 0:0
    Latest results of Buriram United
    Latest results of Johor Darul Takzim
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

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