Barra Santa Catarina vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí).

Serie D - Round 10

Match Stats


Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
7	6
Corner Kicks
5	1
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
1	7
Corner Kicks
5	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Marcelo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Barra Santa Catarina
41.2%

Draw
30.3%

Joinville
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3 ↓ (3.35)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	10.2% (11.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 0.
Recent performances by Barra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Joinville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barra could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barra won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Barra Santa Catarina won against Joinville?

Barra Santa Catarina has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Barra Santa Catarina?

Joinville has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville were as follows:

17.05.2025 Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina 2:1

19.01.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 0:0

21.09.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 2:2

18.02.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 1:1

14.09.2023 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 1:2

Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina

21.06.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Guarany de Bagé 3:0 ✺

14.06.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Barra Santa Catarina 3:3 ✺

01.06.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Barra Santa Catarina 0:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Joinville

14.06.2025 Joinville - São Luiz 2:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville 1:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas 1:0 ✺

26.05.2025 São Luiz - Joinville 0:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina 2:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

Main

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tuna Luso	14	8	3	3	24:10	14	27
2	Manauara	14	7	5	2	27:11	16	26
3	Manaus	14	6	5	3	21:17	4	23
4	Independencia	14	6	3	5	18:19	-1	21
5	Aguia De Maraba	14	5	5	4	22:14	8	20
6	Trem	14	5	3	6	23:24	-1	18
7	GAS	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
8	Humaita	14	1	1	12	12:45	-33	4

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AE Altos	14	7	5	2	22:14	8	26
2	Imperatriz	14	7	3	4	17:15	2	24
3	Sampaio Correa	14	5	6	3	17:11	6	21
4	Maranhao	14	4	7	3	18:12	6	19
5	Iguatu	14	5	3	6	15:15	0	18
6	Tocantinopolis	14	3	6	5	11:17	-6	15
7	Parnahyba	14	3	5	6	16:22	-6	14
8	Maracana	14	3	3	8	12:22	-10	12

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America RN	14	8	3	3	21:9	12	27
2	Santa Cruz	14	8	3	3	20:10	10	27
3	Central SC	14	7	5	2	15:7	8	26
4	Ferroviario	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
5	Horizonte	14	5	2	7	14:17	-3	17
6	Santa Cruz de Natal	14	5	2	7	13:20	-7	17
7	Treze PB	14	4	1	9	7:20	-13	13
8	Sousa	14	3	3	8	11:14	-3	12

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ASA	14	9	4	1	27:8	19	31
2	Lagarto	14	7	2	5	20:16	4	23
3	Sergipe	14	6	4	4	16:10	6	22
4	Juazeirense	14	6	4	4	12:15	-3	22
5	Uniao Carmolandense	14	5	4	5	14:16	-2	19
6	Jequie	14	4	4	6	15:16	-1	16
7	Barcelona	14	2	5	7	9:20	-11	11
8	SC Penedense	14	1	5	8	5:17	-12	8

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aparecidense	14	10	2	2	32:12	20	32
2	Ceilandia	14	8	4	2	23:14	9	28
3	Luverdense	14	7	4	3	14:12	2	25
4	Mixto	14	6	6	2	22:13	9	24
5	Capital	14	4	5	5	14:12	2	17
6	Goiania	14	2	4	8	12:22	-10	10
7	Goianesia	14	1	5	8	11:22	-11	8
8	Porto Velho	14	1	4	9	9:30	-21	7

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa	14	9	3	2	22:13	9	30
2	Rio Branco ES	14	8	2	4	19:9	10	26
3	Agua Santa	14	6	3	5	20:18	2	21
4	Marica	14	5	4	5	14:14	0	19
5	Pouso Alegre	14	5	2	7	13:18	-5	17
6	Porto Vitoria	14	4	5	5	14:13	1	17
7	Nova Iguacu	14	3	6	5	13:16	-3	15
8	Boavista	14	2	3	9	9:23	-14	9

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter de Limeira	14	9	3	2	21:7	14	30
2	Cianorte	14	6	4	4	22:17	5	22
3	Goiatuba	14	6	4	4	21:16	5	22
4	Cascavel	14	5	6	3	15:15	0	21
5	Uberlandia	14	4	4	6	21:20	1	16
6	Monte Azul	14	3	5	6	13:18	-5	14
7	Operario MS	14	3	5	6	13:22	-9	14
8	Itabirito	14	1	7	6	11:22	-11	10

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barra FC	14	8	2	4	20:10	10	26
2	EC Sao Jose	14	7	5	2	21:11	10	26
3	Joinville	14	6	3	5	11:11	0	21
4	Marcilio Dias	14	5	6	3	17:15	2	21
5	Guarany de Bage	14	5	4	5	11:14	-3	19
6	Brasil de Pelotas	14	5	1	8	11:12	-1	16
7	Sao Luiz	14	4	1	9	10:20	-10	13
8	Azuriz	14	3	4	7	6:14	-8	13

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)