Guarany de Bagé vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
85
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
42.3%
Draw
30.8%
Joinville
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 36.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 35.8% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Guarany de Bagé - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.35)
    3.02
    (2.5)
    3.47
    (3.6)
    7.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Guarany de Bagé has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Joinville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guarany de Bagé has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Joinville has had a series of home games.
    • Guarany de Bagé is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Joinville were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Joinville 2:1
    19.04.2025 Joinville - Guarany de Bagé 1:0
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Latest results of Joinville
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM22003:036
    2Sao Raimundo RR21102:024
    3Manauara21102:024
    4Manaus21011:2-13
    5GAS20020:3-30
    6Monte Roraima20020:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho22009:186
    2Araguaina21103:214
    3Guapore21102:114
    4Independencia21013:123
    5Galvez20021:6-50
    6Humaita20021:8-70


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama22004:046
    2Luverdense21102:114
    3Aparecidense21013:303
    4Brasiliense20201:102
    5Primavera AC20112:4-21
    6Inhumas20021:4-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital22002:026
    2Goiatuba21103:214
    3Mixto20202:202
    4Operario VG20112:3-11
    5Uniao Rondonopolis20112:3-11
    6Ceilandia20110:1-11


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Imperatriz21103:124
    2Trem20204:402
    3Aguia De Maraba20203:302
    4Tuna Luso20203:302
    5Tocantinopolis10102:201
    6Oratorio10011:3-20


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maracana21104:224
    2Iguatu21102:024
    3IAPE20202:202
    4Sampaio Correa20200:002
    5Moto Club20111:3-21
    6Parnahyba20111:3-21


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI21104:134
    2Ferroviario21104:314
    3Piaui21103:214
    4Atletico-CE20201:102
    5AE Altos20110:3-31
    6Tirol20023:5-20


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America RN22003:036
    2Maguary21013:123
    3ABC21014:313
    4Sousa21011:2-13
    5Central SC20111:2-11
    6Laguna RN20111:5-41


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lagarto21106:514
    2Sergipe21103:214
    3Treze PB21017:523
    4Serra Branca20203:302
    5Decisao20112:3-11
    6Retro20112:5-31


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA22006:156
    2Juazeirense22005:236
    3ASA21102:114
    4Jacuipense20111:3-21
    5CSE20022:5-30
    6Alagoinhas20021:5-40


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema22003:126
    2Betim21102:114
    3Uberlandia21012:203
    4Operario MS20201:102
    5CRAC20110:1-11
    6Ouvidorense20020:2-20


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense22004:046
    2Democrata GV21102:114
    3Vitoria ES21013:213
    4Porto-BA21013:5-23
    5Rio Branco ES20113:4-11
    6Real Noroeste20021:4-30


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa RJ21105:144
    2Portuguesa21104:134
    3Agua Santa21015:323
    4Madureira21013:303
    5Pouso Alegre21012:3-13
    6America RJ20020:8-80


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marica22003:126
    2Piracicaba21106:334
    3Velo Clube21013:213
    4Sampaio Correa FE21011:2-13
    5Noroeste20112:3-11
    6Nova Iguacu20021:5-40


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville21102:024
    2Cascavel21101:014
    3Cianorte21013:213
    4Santa Catarina21011:103
    5Guarany de Bage20111:3-21
    6Sao Luiz20110:2-21


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau22006:246
    2Sao Joseense21101:014
    3Brasil de Pelotas21014:403
    4Marcilio Dias20200:002
    5Azuriz20111:2-11
    6EC Sao Jose20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)