Jaraguá vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
09/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBandSports

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', Eder Lima 🟨,
  • 3', Kevin Farias 🟨,
  • 5', Bruninho (G),
  • 13', Marcenio (G),
  • 13', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
  • 18', Eka (G),
  • 20', Dieguinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Ernani (G),
  • 24', Nicolas Souza (G),

Chances of winning


Jaraguá
54.4%
Draw
19.9%
Joinville
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 19.8% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 20.5% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraguá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Jaraguá - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.82)
    4.64
    (4.67)
    3.58
    (3.13)
    8.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 4-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaraguá won 3.
    • Jaraguá has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Joinville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jaraguá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaraguá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2.4:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jaraguá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaraguá - Joinville were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Joinville - Jaraguá 1:4
    13.09.2025 Jaraguá - Joinville 4:2
    25.08.2024 Joinville - Jaraguá 4:3
    02.09.2023 Jaraguá - Joinville 4:2
    Latest results of Jaraguá
    03.11.2025 Joinville - Jaraguá 1:4
    25.10.2025 Jaraguá - Minas 3:1
    16.10.2025 Minas - Jaraguá 1:1
    27.09.2025 Jaraguá - Cruzeiro 9:0
    22.09.2025 Dracena - Jaraguá 1:3
    Latest results of Joinville
    03.11.2025 Joinville - Jaraguá 1:4
    27.09.2025 Magnus - Joinville 1:1
    20.09.2025 Joinville - Praia Clube 4:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3