Marreco vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Canhoto 🟨,
  • 16', Pedro Rei 🟨,
  • 20', Alex 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Kevin Farias 🟨,
  • 32', Murilo (Own Goal),
  • 32', Gaucho 🟨,
  • 39', Lucas Farias 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Marreco
16.2%
Draw
19.2%
Joinville
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.2% 19.3% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 19.1% 62.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marreco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marreco than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Marreco - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.73
    (4.79)
    4.84
    (4.78)
    1.44
    (1.5)
    7.7%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marreco won 0.
    • Marreco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Joinville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marreco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Marreco has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Joinville is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marreco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 1.6:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marreco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.8:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marreco - Joinville were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Joinville - Marreco 1:0
    13.10.2024 Marreco - Joinville 2:2
    27.07.2024 Joinville - Marreco 4:2
    29.07.2023 Marreco - Joinville 0:1
    Latest results of Marreco
    12.08.2025 Praia Clube - Marreco 2:0
    02.08.2025 Marreco - Jaraguá 2:2
    13.07.2025 Vélez Camaquã - Marreco 4:1
    04.07.2025 Magnus - Marreco 6:2
    Latest results of Joinville
    10.08.2025 Joinville - Minas 1:2
    04.08.2025 Futuro - Joinville 1:2
    26.07.2025 Joinville - Tubarão 5:0
    21.07.2025 Blumenau - Joinville 3:3
    12.07.2025 Joinville - São Lourenço 5:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3