Result
2:4
03/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 🟨,
- 25', Lucas Lopes 🟨,
- 28', Jose Carlos 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Bruno Camilo ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Jonathan ⚽,
- 42', Bruno Camilo 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 1, Gabriel Terra ⚽,
- 45+1', Victor Guilherme 🟨,
- 45+2', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Marcelo Sousa ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 46', Rickson ↓, Felipe L. ↑,
- 46', Victor Guilherme ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 49', Luan 🟨,
- 60', Reginaldo 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Claudinho ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 3, Jose Carlos ⚽,
- 70', Bruno Camilo 🟨,
- 70', 🟨,
- 71', Iago Dias ↓, Luizinho ↑,
- 75', Brendon ↓, Keke ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Terra ↓, Klock J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Joinville
30.7% | Draw
29.9% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joinville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.6) |
3.08 ↑
(2.88) |
2.33 ↓
(2.6) |
8.8%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Joinville (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 0.
- Joinville is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marcílio Dias's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Joinville has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Joinville?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
06.07.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
10.05.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
1:0
06.02.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
29.09.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
20.01.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:3
Latest results of Joinville
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | Barra FC | 1 : 3 |
