Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 1, Jefferson Vinicius ⚽,
Chances of winning
Joinville
44.5% | Draw
30.5% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.33) |
2.96 ↓
(3.2) |
3.6 ↑
(2.7) |
11%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Joinville (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Joinville has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Joinville?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
10.05.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
1:0
06.02.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
29.09.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
20.01.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:3
10.09.2023
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
2:1
Latest results of Joinville
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | |
Final
