Joinville vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
03/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
54
Red cards
11
Total shots
713
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
25
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 🟨,
  • 25', Lucas Lopes 🟨,
  • 28', Jose Carlos 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Bruno Camilo ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Jonathan ,
  • 42', Bruno Camilo 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Gabriel Terra ,
  • 45+1', Victor Guilherme 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Marcelo Sousa , Reginaldo ,
  • 46', Rickson , Felipe L. ,
  • 46', Victor Guilherme , Joao Vitor ,
  • 49', Luan 🟨,
  • 60', Reginaldo 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Claudinho ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Jose Carlos ,
  • 70', Bruno Camilo 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', Iago Dias , Luizinho ,
  • 75', Brendon , Keke ,
  • 75', Gabriel Terra , Klock J. ,
  • 86', 2 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Joinville
30.7%
Draw
29.9%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 31.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 29.2% 32.2%

Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3
(2.6)
3.08
(2.88)
2.33
(2.6)
8.8%
(11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Joinville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 0.
    • Joinville is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:1
    10.05.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville 1:0
    06.02.2025 Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:1
    29.09.2024 Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias 2:2
    20.01.2024 Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias 2:3
    Latest results of Joinville
    Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marcilio Dias21105:324
    2Carlos Renaux21102:114
    3Figueirense21011:104
    4Joinville20022:5-30

          Relegation ~ Catarinense 2